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Bayesian analysis of FIAPARCH model: an application to São Paulo stock market

Abstract

In this paper, we develop a Bayesian analysis of a FIAPARCH(p,d,q) model for parameter estimation and conditional variance prediction. In order to study the inference problem we use the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm.This methodology is illustrated in a simulation study and it is applied to a set of observations concerning the returns of IBOVESPA value

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