A statistical technique is developed for estimating the climatological probability that an existing tropical cyclone will produce sustained 35-knot winds at Cape Kennedy. Probabilities are specified for specific times and for various time intervals extending to seven days. The technique is developed initially considering only the storm\u27s location, then expanded to take into account its antecedent path. Two classes of storms are processed separately: (1) Those originating over the Atlantic Ocean or the eastern Caribbean Sea, and (2) those originating over the western Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico. The technique can be adapted for wind speeds of other threshold values and for other coastal locations which may be affected by tropical cyclones
