Despite being controversial and the subject of much publicity, New Hampshire residents are only somewhat familiar with the proposed Northern Pass and Kinder Morgan pipeline projects to bring new sources of electricity to the region. Granite Staters are divided in their support for both projects

Survey Center, UNH

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 THE WMUR GRANITE STATE POLL    May 28, 2015  NEW HAMPSHIRE RESIDENTS DIVIDED ON NORTHERN PASS AND KINDER MORGAN PIPELINE PROJECTS  By: Andrew E. Smith, Ph.D.  Zachary S. Azem, M.A.  UNH Survey Center  603/862-2226   www.unh.edu/survey-center  DURHAM, NH – Despite being controversial and the subject of much publicity, New Hampshire residents are only somewhat familiar with the proposed Northern Pass and Kinder Morgan pipeline projects to bring new sources of electricity to the region.  Granite Staters are divided in their support for both projects.  These findings are based on the latest WMUR Granite State Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center.  Five hundred and sixty-seven (567) randomly selected New Hampshire adults were interviewed by landline and cellular telephone between May 6 and May 22, 2015.  The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.1 percent. Included were five hundred twenty-four (524) likely 2016 general election voters (MSE = +/- 4.3%).  Familiarity With Northern Pass  A controversial issue facing the state is the proposed “Northern Pass” project which would bring hydro-electric power from dams in Canada through New Hampshire on high tension wires. Despite considerable controversy and news coverage, awareness of the project remains low.  Only 18% of New Hampshire adults say they are very familiar with Northern Pass, 50% are somewhat familiar, 18% are not very familiar, and 14% are not familiar at all.                                                                We ask that this copyrighted information be referred to as the Granite State Poll, sponsored by WMUR-TV, and conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. 0%5%10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%50%Apr.'11Feb.'12Feb.'13Apr.'13Aug.'13Apr.'14May'15Familiarity with Northern Pass Very Familiar Somewhat FamiliarNot Very Familiar Not At All FamiliarSupport/Oppose Northern Pass  When asked if they support or oppose Northern Pass, attitudes remain mixed. Currently, 42% of New Hampshire adults who have at least some familiarity with Northern Pass support the project (16% strongly and 26% somewhat), 34% oppose the project (21% strongly and 13% somewhat), 19% are neutral, and 5% don’t know enough to say. Residents of the North Country (45%) and the Connecticut Valley (45%) regions are more likely to oppose the Northern Pass project, while residents in the Manchester area (50%) are more likely to support it.   Proposed Kinder Morgan Pipeline  Another controversial energy project facing the state is the proposed Kinder Morgan pipeline which would bring natural gas into the state, largely from Pennsylvania. Despite the controversy over routing of the pipeline, New Hampshire residents are not very aware of this project.  Only 16% of New Hampshire adults say they are very familiar with the Kinder Morgan pipeline, 30% are somewhat familiar, 20% are not very familiar, and 35% are not familiar at all. Residents along the Massachusetts border, which is the area that would be most affected by the pipeline, are more likely to be very familiar (26%) with the project. Residents of the North Country are the most likely to be not at all familiar (56%) with the project.     0%5%10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%50%Apr.'11Feb.'12Feb.'13Apr.'13Aug.'13Apr.'14May'15Support/Oppose Northern Pass Support Oppose Neutral / DK16% 30% 20% 35% 9% 21% 14% 56% 15% 29% 28% 28% 13% 36% 12% 38% 26% 31% 19% 23% 7% 23% 28% 41% 13% 33% 15% 38% 0%10%20%30%40%50%60%Very Familiar Somewhat Familiar Not Very Familiar Not At All FamiliarFamiliarity with Proposed Kinder Morgan Pipeline Overall North Country Central/Lakes Connecticut ValleyMass Border Seacoast Manchester AreaSupport/Oppose Kinder Morgan Pipeline  When asked if they support or oppose the Kinder Morgan pipeline, New Hampshire residents are divided. Currently, 38% of New Hampshire adults who have at least some familiarity with the pipeline support the project (15% strongly and 23% somewhat), 41% oppose the project (23% strongly and 18% somewhat), 14% are neutral, and 7% don’t know enough to say. Residents in the Connecticut Valley (56%) and along the Massachusetts Border (50%) are more likely to oppose the project.   38% 21% 41% 26% 25% 48% 42% 21% 37% 30% 14% 56% 35% 14% 50% 42% 40% 18% 43% 23% 34% 0%10%20%30%40%50%60%Support Neutral/DK OpposeSupport/Oppose Kinder Morgan Pipeline Overall North Country Central/Lakes Connecticut ValleyMass Border Seacoast Manchester AreaGranite State Poll Methodology These findings are based on the latest WMUR Granite State Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. Five hundred and sixty-seven (567) randomly selected New Hampshire adults were interviewed by landline and cellular telephone between May 6 and May 22, 2015.  The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.1 percent. Included were five hundred twenty-four (524) likely 2016 general election voters (MSE = +/- 4.3%).  The data have been weighted to adjust for numbers of adults and telephone lines within households, respondent sex, age, and region of the state.  In addition to potential sampling error, all surveys have other potential sources of non-sampling error including question order effects, question wording effects, and non-response. Due to rounding, percentages may not sum to 100%.  The number of respondents in each demographic below may not equal the number reported in cross-tabulation tables as some respondents choose not to answer some questions.   Granite State Poll, Spring 2015 Demographics  Sex  N %  Region N %  Male 280 49%   North Country 52 9%  Female 287 51%   Central/Lakes 88 16%       Connecticut Valley 78 14% Age N %   Mass Border 152 27%  18 to 34 138 25%   Seacoast 88 16%  35 to 49 164 30%   Manchester Area 109 19%  50 to 64 152 27%       65 and Over 99 18%  Party Registration N %      Democrat 110 23% Highest Level of Education N %   Undeclared 245 51%  High School or Less 89 16%   Republican 129 26%  Some College 152 27%      College Graduate 190 34%  Party Identification N %  Post-Graduate 127 23%   Democrat 206 37%      Independent 139 25% Years Lived in NH N %   Republican 210 38%  10 yrs. Or less 72 13%       11-20 yrs. 114 21%       > 20 yrs. 369 67%                  Granite State Poll, Spring 2015 Demographics – 2016 Likely Voters  Sex  N %  Region N %  Male 261 50%   North Country 46 9%  Female 263 50%   Central/Lakes 85 16%       Connecticut Valley 72 14% Age N %   Mass Border 140 27%  18 to 34 113 22%   Seacoast 80 15%  35 to 49 161 32%   Manchester Area 101 19%  50 to 64 143 28%       65 and Over 94 18%  Party Registration N %      Democrat 99 22% Highest Level of Education N %   Undeclared 236 51%  High School or Less 75 15%   Republican 125 27%  Some College 144 28%      College Graduate 176 34%  Party Identification N %  Post-Graduate 120 23%   Democrat 188 37%      Independent 122 24% Years Lived in NH N %   Republican 203 40%  10 yrs. Or less 69 13%       11-20 yrs. 108 21%       > 20 yrs. 336 66%           Northern Pass   “How familiar are you with an electrical transmission project called the Northern Pass project? Would you say you are very familiar with it … somewhat familiar … not very familiar … or not at all familiar?”      Apr. ’11 Feb. ’12 Feb. ’13 Apr. ’13 Aug. ’13 Apr. ’14 May ‘15  Very Familiar 9% 13% 14% 17% 11% 17% 18%  Somewhat Familiar 36% 41% 43% 48% 39% 36% 50%  Not Very Familiar 18% 20% 17% 21% 23% 19% 18%  Not At All Familiar 35% 25% 26% 13% 26% 28% 14%  Don’t Know / No Opinion 2% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1%  (N=)  (502) (527) (580) (505) (513) (509) (566)   “Based on what you have seen or heard, would you say you support or oppose the Northern Pass project?”  “Is that strongly or just somewhat?”     Apr. ’11 Feb. ’12 Feb. ’13 Apr. ’13 Aug. ’13 Apr. ’14 May ‘15  Strongly Support 14% 16% 16% 16% 14% 20% 16%  Somewhat Support 19% 26% 19% 25% 23% 21% 26%  Neutral/Don’t Know 30% 21% 22% 25% 24% 23% 24%  Somewhat Oppose 15% 14% 18% 14% 18% 11% 13%  Strongly Oppose 23% 23% 25% 20% 21% 25% 21%  (N=)  (316) (383) (428) (430) (375) (363) (482)   Kinder Morgan Pipeline  “How familiar are you with a proposed natural gas pipeline project by the Kinder Morgan company that would pass through several towns on the Massachusetts New Hampshire border … would you say you are very familiar with it … somewhat familiar … not very familiar … or not at all familiar?     May ’15  Very Familiar 16%  Somewhat Familiar 30%  Not Very Familiar 20%  Not At All Familiar 35%  Don’t Know / No Opinion 0%  (N=)  (566)   “Based on what you have seen or heard, would you say you support or oppose the Kinder Morgan natural gas pipeline?”  “Is that strongly or just somewhat?”     May ’15       Strongly Support 15%  Somewhat Support 23%  Neutral/Don’t Know 21%  Somewhat Oppose 18%  Strongly Oppose 23%  (N=)  (366)   Familiarity With Northern Pass   Very Somewhat Not Very Not At All Don’t Know/   Familiar Familiar Familiar Familiar Not Sure (N) STATEWIDE 18% 50% 18% 14% 1% 566   Registered Democrat 15% 44% 17% 19% 4% 110  Registered Undeclared 22% 50% 17% 11% 0% 244  Registered Republican 18% 55% 22% 6% 0% 129   Democrat 16% 49% 17% 16% 2% 206  Independent 17% 48% 18% 16% 0% 139  Republican 21% 51% 18% 10% 0% 210   Liberal 21% 54% 7% 17% 0% 130  Moderate 16% 47% 26% 11% 0% 238  Conservative 19% 55% 13% 11% 3% 158   Support Tea Party 23% 55% 13% 9% 0% 109  Neutral 13% 53% 21% 13% 0% 209  Oppose Tea Party 22% 47% 16% 13% 2% 214   Likely 2016 Voter  19% 51% 17% 12% 1% 522  Non-Likely 2016 Voter 4% 38% 19% 38% 1% 43   Union household 18% 58% 10% 13% 0% 82  Non-union 18% 49% 19% 14% 1% 472   Read Union Leader 23% 51% 15% 8% 3% 171  Read Boston Globe 22% 61% 12% 5% 0% 85  Read Local Newspapers 20% 55% 14% 11% 0% 210  Watch WMUR 21% 50% 18% 10% 1% 324  Listen to NHPR 29% 51% 10% 11% 0% 144   10 yrs or less in NH 9% 43% 23% 20% 5% 71  11 to 20 years 16% 55% 12% 17% 0% 114  More than 20 years 20% 50% 18% 11% 0% 369   18 to 34 8% 56% 17% 20% 0% 138  35 to 49 17% 47% 21% 13% 2% 164  50 to 64 23% 51% 15% 11% 0% 152  65 and over 25% 45% 16% 12% 1% 99   Male 23% 51% 15% 10% 0% 280  Female 13% 48% 20% 18% 1% 286   High school or less 12% 55% 15% 17% 1% 89  Some college 23% 45% 11% 21% 0% 152  College graduate 12% 57% 23% 5% 2% 190  Post-graduate 24% 42% 18% 15% 0% 127   Attend services 1 or more/week 19% 51% 20% 7% 3% 140  1-2 times a month 13% 45% 19% 23% 0% 59  Less often 16% 51% 17% 16% 0% 170  Never 20% 51% 15% 15% 0% 176   North Country 28% 48% 23% 1% 0% 52  Central / Lakes 26% 60% 7% 7% 0% 87  Connecticut Valley 20% 49% 10% 22% 0% 77  Mass Border 16% 45% 22% 16% 0% 152  Seacoast 12% 54% 17% 17% 0% 88  Manchester Area 14% 46% 23% 13% 4% 109   First Cong. Dist 16% 45% 23% 14% 2% 289  Second Cong. Dist 20% 54% 12% 13% 0% 276  Support/Oppose Northern Pass   Strongly Somewhat  Somewhat Strongly Don’t  Support Support Neutral Oppose Oppose Know (N)  STATEWIDE 16% 26% 19% 13% 21% 5% 482   Registered Democrat 8% 23% 18% 20% 25% 6% 84  Registered Undeclared 21% 22% 19% 12% 21% 6% 217  Registered Republican 13% 34% 26% 3% 20% 4% 121   Democrat 13% 27% 15% 19% 20% 6% 169  Independent 16% 19% 26% 10% 22% 7% 117  Republican 18% 29% 19% 9% 21% 4% 187   Liberal 15% 22% 11% 21% 27% 4% 107  Moderate 14% 27% 25% 12% 16% 7% 211  Conservative 21% 32% 13% 7% 24% 4% 136   Support Tea Party 20% 28% 18% 12% 18% 4% 98  Neutral 16% 25% 18% 11% 22% 8% 182  Oppose Tea Party 14% 26% 18% 15% 23% 4% 183   Likely 2016 Voter  16% 25% 20% 13% 21% 5% 456  Non-Likely 2016 Voter  12% 43% 1% 12% 25% 6% 26   Very Familiar 30% 21% 7% 3% 39% 0% 101  Somewhat Familiar 15% 32% 12% 18% 21% 3% 281  Not Very Familiar 5% 15% 50% 7% 4% 19% 99   Read Union Leader 28% 22% 16% 10% 22% 2% 153  Read Boston Globe 13% 25% 16% 28% 14% 4% 80  Read Local Newspapers 13% 25% 19% 16% 22% 4% 187  Watch WMUR 18% 26% 20% 13% 19% 5% 288  Listen to NHPR 8% 29% 12% 20% 29% 2% 128   10 yrs or less in NH 12% 21% 24% 22% 12% 9% 53  11 to 20 years 12% 24% 23% 16% 25% 0% 94  More than 20 years 18% 28% 17% 10% 21% 6% 325   18 to 34 5% 36% 15% 15% 24% 4% 111  35 to 49 14% 26% 25% 13% 14% 8% 140  50 to 64 26% 19% 17% 12% 21% 5% 135  65 and over 20% 28% 16% 10% 22% 4% 85   Male 18% 30% 18% 9% 21% 3% 251  Female 14% 22% 19% 16% 21% 8% 231   High school or less 15% 23% 18% 13% 26% 3% 73  Some college 20% 29% 16% 10% 22% 3% 119  College graduate 12% 29% 18% 16% 17% 8% 175  Post-graduate 18% 20% 24% 10% 23% 5% 108   Attend services 1 or more/week 17% 28% 20% 12% 18% 5% 127  1-2 times a month 14% 34% 16% 15% 16% 5% 46  Less often 16% 23% 21% 11% 23% 5% 143  Never 16% 26% 17% 14% 22% 5% 149   North Country 16% 23% 11% 9% 36% 5% 52  Central / Lakes 22% 16% 15% 13% 27% 7% 80  Connecticut Valley 12% 30% 12% 12% 33% 3% 60  Mass Border 16% 23% 28% 14% 13% 6% 127  Seacoast 17% 30% 17% 18% 13% 5% 73  Manchester Area 13% 37% 19% 9% 18% 6% 90   First Cong. Dist 18% 33% 18% 12% 13% 5% 243  Second Cong. Dist 14% 19% 19% 13% 29% 6% 239  Familiarity With Kinder Morgan Pipeline   Very Somewhat Not Very Not At All Don’t Know/   Familiar Familiar Familiar Familiar Not Sure (N) STATEWIDE 16% 30% 20% 35% 0% 566   Registered Democrat 15% 31% 23% 30% 0% 110  Registered Undeclared 17% 33% 19% 31% 1% 244  Registered Republican 17% 27% 26% 29% 0% 129   Democrat 15% 34% 19% 32% 0% 206  Independent 14% 21% 16% 49% 0% 139  Republican 18% 32% 23% 27% 0% 210   Liberal 15% 36% 22% 26% 0% 130  Moderate 14% 26% 20% 40% 0% 238  Conservative 20% 29% 19% 31% 1% 158   Support Tea Party 14% 34% 23% 28% 0% 109  Neutral 15% 21% 23% 41% 0% 209  Oppose Tea Party 18% 38% 17% 26% 0% 214   Likely 2016 Voter  16% 31% 19% 34% 0% 522  Non-Likely 2016 Voter  14% 15% 25% 44% 2% 43   Union household 23% 26% 21% 30% 0% 82  Non-union 15% 31% 19% 35% 0% 472   Read Union Leader 24% 24% 20% 31% 1% 171  Read Boston Globe 23% 38% 16% 22% 1% 85  Read Local Newspapers 22% 34% 14% 29% 0% 210  Watch WMUR 17% 33% 19% 31% 0% 324  Listen to NHPR 21% 38% 17% 24% 0% 144   10 yrs or less in NH 10% 33% 7% 51% 0% 71  11 to 20 years 13% 33% 29% 25% 0% 114  More than 20 years 18% 28% 19% 34% 0% 369   18 to 34 15% 18% 18% 49% 0% 138  35 to 49 10% 30% 22% 38% 0% 164  50 to 64 20% 33% 19% 27% 0% 152  65 and over 18% 41% 19% 21% 2% 99   Male 20% 30% 20% 29% 0% 280  Female 11% 29% 20% 41% 0% 286   High school or less 11% 17% 19% 53% 0% 89  Some college 15% 30% 19% 36% 0% 152  College graduate 14% 33% 19% 34% 0% 190  Post-graduate 23% 34% 22% 20% 1% 127   Attend services 1 or more/week 18% 32% 20% 29% 1% 140  1-2 times a month 20% 31% 17% 33% 0% 59  Less often 10% 29% 21% 40% 0% 170  Never 18% 28% 18% 36% 0% 176   North Country 9% 21% 14% 56% 0% 52  Central / Lakes 15% 29% 28% 28% 1% 87  Connecticut Valley 13% 36% 12% 38% 1% 77  Mass Border 26% 31% 19% 23% 0% 152  Seacoast 7% 23% 28% 41% 1% 88  Manchester Area 13% 33% 15% 38% 0% 109   First Cong. Dist 11% 27% 23% 39% 0% 289  Second Cong. Dist 21% 32% 16% 30% 0% 276  Support/Oppose Kinder Morgan Pipeline   Strongly Somewhat  Somewhat Strongly Don’t  Support Support Neutral Oppose Oppose Know (N) STATEWIDE 15% 23% 14% 18% 23% 7% 366   Registered Democrat 6% 11% 14% 33% 33% 4% 77  Registered Undeclared 19% 25% 11% 15% 23% 7% 167  Registered Republican 15% 32% 19% 13% 11% 9% 90   Democrat 7% 19% 17% 22% 32% 3% 139  Independent 25% 17% 13% 19% 16% 10% 71  Republican 17% 30% 13% 14% 19% 7% 152   Liberal 7% 20% 15% 25% 31% 3% 96  Moderate 15% 21% 16% 19% 22% 8% 142  Conservative 24% 30% 14% 10% 17% 5% 107   Support Tea Party 31% 27% 17% 8% 14% 3% 77  Neutral 13% 24% 13% 23% 17% 9% 123  Oppose Tea Party 9% 20% 14% 18% 33% 6% 157   Likely 2016 Voter  16% 23% 15% 17% 22% 7% 342  Non-Likely 2016 Voter 1% 23% 2% 26% 39% 9% 23   Very Familiar 29% 6% 2% 10% 53% 0% 87  Somewhat Familiar 16% 33% 6% 20% 23% 3% 167  Not Very Familiar 1% 22% 37% 20% 1% 18% 112   Read Union Leader 23% 21% 14% 20% 17% 5% 117  Read Boston Globe 12% 27% 15% 25% 19% 3% 65  Read Local Newspapers 13% 24% 11% 19% 28% 5% 147  Watch WMUR 14% 21% 18% 18% 23% 6% 223  Listen to NHPR 10% 18% 13% 22% 30% 6% 110   10 yrs or less in NH 12% 39% 2% 9% 31% 6% 35  11 to 20 years 10% 29% 23% 18% 13% 7% 85  More than 20 years 17% 19% 13% 19% 26% 6% 240   18 to 34 6% 14% 8% 34% 30% 7% 70  35 to 49 10% 30% 20% 13% 19% 7% 102  50 to 64 20% 23% 13% 14% 26% 5% 109  65 and over 23% 22% 17% 15% 18% 5% 76   Male 20% 24% 12% 14% 22% 7% 197  Female 9% 21% 17% 22% 25% 6% 169   High school or less 14% 23% 17% 14% 23% 9% 42  Some college 18% 21% 13% 26% 18% 4% 96  College graduate 12% 27% 14% 16% 26% 5% 125  Post-graduate 15% 21% 15% 14% 27% 8% 100   Attend services 1 or more/week 15% 24% 22% 15% 20% 4% 98  1-2 times a month 16% 20% 16% 11% 28% 9% 40  Less often 18% 13% 14% 25% 23% 6% 101  Never 12% 33% 10% 16% 25% 4% 113   North Country 14% 12% 25% 19% 29% 0% 23  Central / Lakes 25% 17% 14% 22% 15% 7% 62  Connecticut Valley 15% 15% 6% 19% 37% 8% 47  Mass Border 7% 28% 8% 20% 30% 6% 116  Seacoast 14% 28% 28% 12% 6% 12% 51  Manchester Area 19% 24% 18% 12% 22% 5% 67   First Cong. Dist 14% 32% 19% 15% 12% 7% 174  Second Cong. Dist 15% 15% 10% 20% 34% 7% 191 

New Hampshire Residents Divided on Northern Pass And Kinder Morgan Pipeline Projects 5/28/15

https://scholars.unh.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1116&amp;context=survey_center_polls

New Hampshire Residents Divided on Northern Pass And Kinder Morgan Pipeline Projects 5/28/15

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