A small majority of New Hampshire residents believe voter fraud is a serious problem in the country as a whole, but far fewer believe it is a serious problem in New Hampshire. While few think voter fraud is very significant and affects the outcomes of elections, a plurality think it is somewhat significant and could potentially affect election outcomes. The majority of Granite Staters support New Hampshire\u27s new electoral law requiring documentation for those who register close to an election

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The	Granite	State	PolNovember 16, 2017GRANITE STATERS MORE CONCERNED ABOUT VOTER FRAUD IN U.S. THAN IN NHBy:     Andrew E. Smith, Ph.D.                                                                        andrew.smith@unh.edu        Zachary S. Azem, M.A.                                                                                  603-862-2226        Sean P. McKinley, M.A.                                                                     cola.unh.edu/survey-centerDURHAM, NH – A smal majority of New Hampshire residents believe voter fraud is a serious problem in the country as a whole, but farfewer believe it is a serious problem in New Hampshire. While few think voter fraud is very signiﬁcant and aﬀects the outcomes ofelecƟons, a plurality think it is somewhat signiﬁcant and could potenƟaly aﬀect elecƟon outcomes. The majority of Granite Staterssupport New Hampshire's new electoral law requiring documentaƟon for those who register close to an elecƟon.These ﬁndings are based on the latest Granite State Pol*, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. Nine hundredand ﬁŌy-six (956) randomly selected New Hampshire adults were interviewed in English by landline and celular telephone betweenOctober 26 and November 9, 2017. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 3.2 percent.ElecƟon Integrity in the U.S.In the wake of the 2016 elecƟon, President Trump claimed there was considerable fraud in the elecƟon. Trump chartered a specialcommission to invesƟgate the integrity of U.S. elecƟons which convened in NH in September.Just over half of Granite Staters (54%) believe voter fraud is a very serious (24%) or somewhat serious (29%) problem in the country as awhole, 41% believe it is not too serious (19%) or not at al serious (22%), and 6% don't know or are unsure.Three-quarters of Republicans (75%) and 59% Independents believe voter fraud is a serious problem in the country but only 31% ofDemocrats agree.Self-described conservaƟves, those who voted for Donald Trump or did not vote in 2016, those who watch Fox News, those with a highschool educaƟon or less, and those who primarily get their naƟonal news through social media are most likely to say voter fraud is avery or somewhat serious problem in the country while those with a colege degree or more educaƟon, self-described liberals, thosewho voted for Hilary Clinton in 2016, and those who primarily get their naƟonal news through newspapers are least likely to say so.* We ask that this copyrighted informaƟon be referred to as the Granite State Pol, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center.OVERALL Democrat Independent Republican0%20%40%60%80%100%54%41%6%31%66%3%59%31%10%75%20%5%Somewhat SeriousVery SeriousNot Too SeriousNot At Al SeriousDon't Know/Not SureSeriousness of Voter Fraud Problem in U.S.0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%Voter fraud is very signiﬁcant and aﬀects theoutcomes of electionsVoter fraud is somewhat signiﬁcant and haspotential to aﬀect the outcome of electionsVoter fraud exists but is insigniﬁcant and doesnot aﬀect the outcome of electionsVoter fraud in this country does not existDon't Know/Not Sure17%38%34%7%4%Best Describes View of Voter Fraud in U.S.Seventeen percent of New Hampshire residents believe that voter fraud is very signiﬁcant and aﬀects the outcomes of elecƟons, 38%say voter fraud is somewhat signiﬁcant and has the potenƟal to aﬀect the outcome of elecƟons, 34% say voter fraud exists but isinsigniﬁcant and does not aﬀect the outcome of elecƟons, 7% say voter fraud in this country does not exist, and 4% don't know or areunsure.Self-described conservaƟves and those who primarily get their naƟonal news through social media are most likely to say voter fraud isvery signiﬁcant and aﬀects the outcomes of elecƟons while those who voted for Hilary Clinton in 2016, self-described liberals, thosewho primarily get their naƟonal news through newspapers, and those who have completed postgraduate work are most likely to sayvoter fraud exists but is insigniﬁcant and does not aﬀect the outcome of elecƟons.OVERALL Democrat Independent Republican0%20%40%60%80%100%33%58%9%16%78%6%35%54%11%50%40%10%Seriousness of Voter Fraud Problem in NHSomewhat SeriousVery SeriousNot Too SeriousNot At Al SeriousDon't Know/Not SureElecƟon Integrity in NHOnly a third Granite Staters (33%) believe voter fraud is a very serious (13%) or somewhat serious (20%) problem in New Hamphire, 58%believe it is not too serious (24%) or not at al serious (34%), and 9% don't know or are unsure.Half of Republicans (50%) believe voter fraud is a serious problem in the state, but only 35% of Independents and 16% of Democratsagree.Self-described conservaƟves, those who voted for Donald Trump or did not vote in 2016, and those who watch Fox News are most likelyto say voter fraud is a very or somewhat serious problem in the state while self-described liberals, those who have completedpostgraduate work, those who voted for Hilary Clinton in 2016, and those who primarily get their naƟonal news from newspapers areleast likely to say so.32%18%1%40%10%Combining these two quesƟons, 32% of Granite Staters believe voter fraud is a serious problem in the U.S. and in NH, 18% believe it is aserious problem in the country as a whole but not serious in NH, 1% say it is not serious in the U.S. but is a serious problem in NH, 40%say it is not serious in the U.S. or in NH, and 10% don't know or are unsure how serious of a problem it is either in the U.S. or in NH.Serious problem in U.S. & NHSerious in U.S. but not serious in NHNot serious in U.S. but serious in NHNot serious in U.S. or NHDK/Not Sure how serious in U.S. or in NHSeriousness of Voter Fraud Problem in U.S. by Seriousness of Voter Fraud Problem in NHOVERALL Democrat Independent Republican0%20%40%60%80%100%54%20% 24%2%35% 33% 31%1%60%16%23%2%74%16%9%2%NH ElecƟon Law SupportSomewhat SupportStrongly SupportSomewhat OpposeStrongly OpposeDon't Know Enough To SayNeither Support Nor OpposeNH VoƟng Law ChangeNew Hampshire recently passed legislaƟon that requires those who register to vote within 30 days of an elecƟon or on ElecƟon Day toshow proof that they live in the community. If a person cannot provide documentaƟon, they are alowed to vote but must ﬁl out anaﬃdavit swearing to their residency and must provide documentaƟon soon thereaŌer. If the documentaƟon is not provided, oﬃcialsare empowered to invesƟgate the individual's residency including visiƟng their residence.Just over half (54%) of New Hampshire residents say they strongly support (38%) or somewhat support (17%) this legislaƟon, 20%strongly oppose (12%) or somewhat oppose (8%) it, 2% say they neither support nor oppose it, and 24% don't know enough to say.Nearly three-quarters (74%) of Republicans and 60% of Independents support this legislaƟon but only 35% of Democrats agree.Those who voted for Donald Trump or did not vote in 2016, self-described conservaƟves, those who watch Fox News, and Central/LakesRegion residents are most likely to support this legislaƟon while those who have completed postgraduate work, those who primarily gettheir naƟonal news through newspapers, self-described liberals, and those who voted for Hilary Clinton in 2016 are least likely tosupport it.Granite State Pol MethodologyThese ﬁndings are based on the latest Granite State Pol, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. Nine hundredand ﬁŌy-six (956) randomly selected New Hampshire adults were interviewed in English by landline and celular telephone betweenOctober 26 and November 9, 2017. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 3.2 percent. These MSE’s have not been adjustedfor design eﬀect. The design eﬀect for the survey is 1.3%.The random sample used in the Granite State Pol was purchased from MarkeƟng Systems Group (MSG), Horsham, PA. MSG screenseach selected telephone number to eliminate non-working numbers, disconnected numbers, and business numbers to improve theeﬃciency of the sample, reducing the amount of Ɵme interviewers spend caling non-usable numbers.The data have been weighted to adjust for numbers of adults and telephone lines within households. AddiƟonaly, data were weightedby respondent sex, age, educaƟon, and region of the state to targets from the most recent American Community Survey (ACS)conducted by the U.S. Census Bureau. In addiƟon to potenƟal sampling error, al surveys have other potenƟal sources of non-samplingerror including quesƟon order eﬀects, quesƟon wording eﬀects, and non-response. Due to rounding, percentages may not sum to100%. The number of respondents in each demographic below may not equal the number reported in cross-tabulaƟon tables as somerespondents choose not to answer some quesƟons.For more informaƟon about the methodology used in the Granite State Pol, contact Dr. Andrew Smith at (603) 862-2226 or by email atandrew.smith@unh.edu.Granite State Pol, November 2017 Demographics%49%51%12%20%37%31%17%9%27%16%14%16%22%57%21%37%23%41%NSex ofRespondentFemaleMaleLevel ofEducationHigh school or lessTechnical school/Some colegeColege graduatePostgraduate workRegion ofStateCentral / LakesConnecticut ValeyManchester AreaMass BorderNorth CountrySeacoastRegisteredto VoteReg. DemocratReg. Undeclared/Not Reg.Reg. RepublicanParty ID DemocratIndependentRepublican46348311418435028616289259154129153208532193336207372Very Serious SomewhatSerious Not Too SeriousNot At AlSeriousDon't Know/NotSureSTATEWIDE 6%22%19%29%24%N946Registeredto VoteReg. DemocratReg. Undeclared/Not Reg.Reg. RepublicanParty ID DemocratIndependentRepublicanIdeology LiberalModerateConservativeMain Sourceof NationalNewsNewspapersOther WebsitesRadioSocial MediaTelevisionOtherNational TVNews SourceWatch ABCWatch CBSWatch CNNWatch Fox NewsWatch MSNBCWatch NBCWatch PBSWatch Some Other NetworkWatch None of the AboveAge ofRespondent18 to 3435 to 4950 to 6465 and olderSex ofRespondentFemaleMaleLevel ofEducationHigh school or lessTechnical school/Some colegeColege graduatePostgraduate work2016PresidentialVoteDonald TrumpHilary ClintonDid Not VoteOtherRegion ofStateCentral / LakesConnecticut ValeyManchester AreaMass BorderNorth CountrySeacoastCongressional District1st District2nd District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ow serious of a problem do you think voter fraud is in the country as a whole?Very Serious SomewhatSerious Not Too SeriousNot At AlSeriousDon't Know/NotSureSTATEWIDE 9%34%24%20%13%N946Registeredto VoteReg. DemocratReg. Undeclared/Not Reg.Reg. RepublicanParty ID DemocratIndependentRepublicanIdeology LiberalModerateConservativeMain Sourceof NationalNewsNewspapersOther WebsitesRadioSocial MediaTelevisionOtherNational TVNews SourceWatch ABCWatch CBSWatch CNNWatch Fox NewsWatch MSNBCWatch NBCWatch PBSWatch Some Other NetworkWatch None of the AboveAge ofRespondent18 to 3435 to 4950 to 6465 and olderSex ofRespondentFemaleMaleLevel ofEducationHigh school or lessTechnical school/Some colegeColege graduatePostgraduate work2016PresidentialVoteDonald TrumpHilary ClintonDid Not VoteOtherRegion ofStateCentral / LakesConnecticut ValeyManchester AreaMass BorderNorth CountrySeacoastCongressional District1st District2nd District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ow serious of a problem do you think voter fraud is in the state of New Hampshire?Voter fraud is very signiﬁcantand aﬀects the outcomes ofelectionsVoter fraud is somewhatsigniﬁcant and has potential toaﬀect the outcome of electionsVoter fraud exists but isinsigniﬁcant and does not aﬀectthe outcome of electionsSTATEWIDE 34%38%17%Registeredto VoteReg. DemocratReg. Undeclared/Not Reg.Reg. RepublicanParty ID DemocratIndependentRepublicanIdeology LiberalModerateConservativeMain Sourceof NationalNewsNewspapersOther WebsitesRadioSocial MediaTelevisionOtherNational TVNews SourceWatch ABCWatch CBSWatch CNNWatch Fox NewsWatch MSNBCWatch NBCWatch PBSWatch Some Other NetworkWatch None of the AboveAge ofRespondent18 to 3435 to 4950 to 6465 and olderSex ofRespondentFemaleMaleLevel ofEducationHigh school or lessTechnical school/Some colegeColege graduatePostgraduate work2016PresidentialVoteDonald TrumpHilary ClintonDid Not VoteOtherRegion ofStateCentral / LakesConnecticut ValeyManchester AreaMass BorderNorth CountrySeacoastCongressional District1st District2nd District18%35%50%49%39%24%26%15%11%18%29%51%51%38%27%24%18%9%13%37%53%49%40%24%28%12%9%33%30%23%40%41%51%43%42%43%28%37%26%21%16%27%18%11%4%39%25%40%36%44%21%42%31%36%35%40%31%36%28%46%32%39%38%14%21%14%14%12%24%14%15%17%34%36%38%29%31%39%32%45%17%14%17%20%31%37%41%35%18%16%50%39%32%27%26%33%45%37%6%15%16%24%53%25%56%13%35%41%22%54%9%23%7%26%32%36%33%32%37%38%35%38%43%33%37%37%20%20%14%20%13%16%35%33%40%36%14%19%ELECT3: What best describes your view on voter fraud in the country?Voter fraud is verysigniﬁcant and aﬀects theoutcomes of electionsVoter fraud in this countrydoes not exist Don't Know/Not SureSTATEWIDE 4%7%17%N943Registeredto VoteReg. DemocratReg. Undeclared/Not Reg.Reg. RepublicanParty ID DemocratIndependentRepublicanIdeology LiberalModerateConservativeMain Sourceof NationalNewsNewspapersOther WebsitesRadioSocial MediaTelevisionOtherNational TVNews SourceWatch ABCWatch CBSWatch CNNWatch Fox NewsWatch MSNBCWatch NBCWatch PBSWatch Some Other NetworkWatch None of the AboveAge ofRespondent18 to 3435 to 4950 to 6465 and olderSex ofRespondentFemaleMaleLevel ofEducationHigh school or lessTechnical school/Some colegeColege graduatePostgraduate work2016PresidentialVoteDonald TrumpHilary ClintonDid Not VoteOtherRegion ofStateCentral / LakesConnecticut ValeyManchester AreaMass BorderNorth CountrySeacoastCongressional District1st District2nd District4%5%2%3%6%13%26%15%11%3%9%2%3%5%11%24%18%9%5%5%2%5%5%12%28%12%9%1%4%4%6%4%6%2%8%3%7%6%13%21%16%27%18%11%4%7%6%3%4%4%5%2%5%3%5%7%11%10%12%4%10%10%6%14%21%14%14%12%24%14%15%17%7%3%6%3%11%8%7%3%17%14%17%20%3%6%7%6%18%16%3%4%2%8%15%9%5%4%6%15%16%24%0%9%2%3%2%2%12%4%9%23%7%26%6%1%5%6%4%2%8%4%4%9%9%7%20%20%14%20%13%16%4%5%7%6%14%19%2085301923362063712643902295037912113617560209863072812473233162433781752702242454624811141833492866717834531516189258153129153454489ELECT3: What best describes your view on voter fraud in the country?Strongly Support Somewhat Support Neither Support Nor OpposeSTATEWIDE 2%17%38%Registeredto VoteReg. DemocratReg. Undeclared/Not Reg.Reg. RepublicanParty ID DemocratIndependentRepublicanIdeology LiberalModerateConservativeMain Sourceof NationalNewsNewspapersOther WebsitesRadioSocial MediaTelevisionOtherNational TVNews SourceWatch ABCWatch CBSWatch CNNWatch Fox NewsWatch MSNBCWatch NBCWatch PBSWatch Some Other NetworkWatch None of the AboveAge ofRespondent18 to 3435 to 4950 to 6465 and olderSex ofRespondentFemaleMaleLevel ofEducationHigh school or lessTechnical school/Some colegeColege graduatePostgraduate work2016PresidentialVoteDonald TrumpHilary ClintonDid Not VoteOtherRegion ofStateCentral / LakesConnecticut ValeyManchester AreaMass BorderNorth CountrySeacoastCongressional District1st District2nd District2%2%1%15%18%15%57%36%20%2%2%1%16%19%17%58%41%18%2%2%1%17%17%17%58%38%16%1%4%2%2%4%24%15%21%17%19%11%36%41%33%41%35%27%0%3%3%3%3%2%3%4%2%23%17%12%16%14%11%17%14%16%33%26%34%32%27%55%28%31%39%2%2%1%2%10%16%20%19%39%40%35%36%1%2%17%16%45%31%3%2%1%1%16%16%16%18%25%38%40%40%1%1%2%1%16%26%15%14%35%34%18%63%1%3%0%2%2%3%14%10%16%16%23%20%40%47%34%36%30%44%1%2%20%14%36%40%ELECT4: As you may know, New Hampshire recently passed legislation that requires those who register to vote within 30 days of an election or onElection Day to show proof that they live in the community. If a person cannot provide documentation, they are alowed to vote but must ﬁl out anaﬃdavit swearing to their residency and must provide documentation soon thereafter. If the documentation is not provided, oﬃcials areempowered to investigate the individual's residency including visiting their residence. Would you say that you support or oppose this legislation oryou don't know enough about this to say?Somewhat Oppose Strongly Oppose Don't Know Enough To SaySTATEWIDE 24%12%8%N943Registeredto VoteReg. DemocratReg. Undeclared/Not Reg.Reg. RepublicanParty ID DemocratIndependentRepublicanIdeology LiberalModerateConservativeMain Sourceof NationalNewsNewspapersOther WebsitesRadioSocial MediaTelevisionOtherNational TVNews SourceWatch ABCWatch CBSWatch CNNWatch Fox NewsWatch MSNBCWatch NBCWatch PBSWatch Some Other NetworkWatch None of the AboveAge ofRespondent18 to 3435 to 4950 to 6465 and olderSex ofRespondentFemaleMaleLevel ofEducationHigh school or lessTechnical school/Some colegeColege graduatePostgraduate work2016PresidentialVoteDonald TrumpHilary ClintonDid Not VoteOtherRegion ofStateCentral / LakesConnecticut ValeyManchester AreaMass BorderNorth CountrySeacoastCongressional District1st District2nd District16%26%27%7%10%26%3%8%10%16%23%31%5%10%22%4%6%12%15%27%26%5%9%28%3%8%12%20%26%20%19%28%18%8%11%12%15%10%29%12%7%10%7%6%10%20%34%28%28%31%19%30%30%26%14%18%16%15%18%6%13%13%11%10%4%7%6%7%5%9%7%7%26%23%23%24%14%13%14%10%8%6%6%9%19%29%12%12%6%9%18%19%28%24%23%18%10%8%14%7%4%9%32%26%31%14%13%7%22%4%4%6%12%4%26%25%33%22%17%15%11%9%11%17%14%12%8%7%6%6%13%5%23%25%13%12%7%8%2085301923342073712613922295037912213617360210863062822483213162443791752712232454614821141843472866717934531316289257154128153453490ELECT4: As you may know, New Hampshire recently passed legislation that requires those who register to vote within 30 days of an election or onElection Day to show proof that they live in the community. If a person cannot provide documentation, they are alowed to vote but must ﬁl out anaﬃdavit swearing to their residency and must provide documentation soon thereafter. If the documentation is not provided, oﬃcials areempowered to investigate the individual's residency including visiting their residence. Would you say that you support or oppose this legislation oryou don't know enough about this to say?

Granite Staters More Concerned About Voter Fraud in U.S. Than In NH 11/16/17

https://scholars.unh.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1022&amp;context=survey_center_polls

Granite Staters More Concerned About Voter Fraud in U.S. Than In NH 11/16/17

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