Christofferson, Rebecca C

Estallo, Elizabet L

Robert, Michael Andrew

Sippy, Rachel

Stewart-Ibarra, Anna M

Wearing, Helen J

English

VCU Scholars Compass

Masthead LogoVirginia Commonwealth UniversityVCU Scholars CompassBiology and Medicine Through MathematicsConference 2019May 16th, 4:00 PMInvestigating drivers of dengue emergence inCordoba, ArgentinaMichael Andrew RobertUniversity of the Sciences of Philadelphia, m.robert@usciences.eduRachel SippyUniversity of Florida, rsippy@ufl.eduAnna M. Stewart-IbarraSUNY Upstate Medical University, amstew01@gmail.comSee next page for additional authorsFollow this and additional works at: https://scholarscompass.vcu.edu/bammPart of the Applied Mathematics Commons, Epidemiology Commons, and the Life SciencesCommonsThis Event is brought to you for free and open access by the Dept. of Mathematics and Applied Mathematics at VCU Scholars Compass. It has beenaccepted for inclusion in Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference by an authorized administrator of VCU Scholars Compass. Formore information, please contact libcompass@vcu.edu.https://scholarscompass.vcu.edu/bamm/2019/thur/7Presenter InformationMichael Andrew Robert, Rachel Sippy, Anna M. Stewart-Ibarra, Rebecca C. Christofferson, Helen J. Wearing,and Elizabet L. EstalloThis event is available at VCU Scholars Compass: https://scholarscompass.vcu.edu/bamm/2019/thur/7Investigating drivers of dengue emergence in Córdoba, Argentina Michael A. Robert1, Rachel J. Sippy2, Anna M. Stewart-Ibarra3, Rebecca C. Christofferson4, Helen J. Wearing5, and Elizabet E. Estallo6.  1. University of the Sciences of Philadelphia 2. University of Florida 3. SUNY Upstate Medical University 4. Louisiana State University 5. University of New Mexico 6. Universidad Nacional de Córdoba  Dengue fever is a viral disease transmitted by the mosquito species Aedes aegypti.  Dengue is endemic to many tropical and subtropical regions of the world; however, outbreaks have been occurring in more temperate regions in the last two decades. In the temperate city of Córdoba, Argentina, the first dengue outbreak on record occurred in 2009 and in the decade since, dengue transmission has been reported every year, with three other large outbreaks occurring in 2013, 2015, and 2016. This emergence of dengue is likely to have several drivers including increases in travel between Córdoba and dengue-endemic regions as well as changes in temperature and precipitation patterns caused by global climate change. Temperature and/or precipitation are known to impact various parts of the dengue transmission cycle, including mosquito development and survival and the incubation period of the virus in the mosquito host. In this work, we expand a classic vector-host epidemiological ordinary differential equations model to include time-varying impacts of temperature and precipitation.   With this model, we explore the recent outbreaks of dengue in Córdoba to investigate the potential role of changes in climate patterns in the emergence of dengue in the city. We discuss the potential implications of our results for mosquito control and dengue mitigation strategies in Córdoba and other temperate cities, including U.S. cities where dengue emergence may be possible. 

Investigating drivers of dengue emergence in Cordoba, Argentina

https://scholarscompass.vcu.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1309&amp;context=bamm

Investigating drivers of dengue emergence in Cordoba, Argentina

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