¿Es posible alcanzar los Objetivos del Milenio en Colombia? Una evaluación de estrategias de focalización y financiamiento

Abstract

Using the methodology of simulations from a model dynamic computable general equilibrium, which includes a module that involves behavior of the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) assesses the potential macroeconomic and social effects of different ways to achieve those objectives in Colombia. Given the complementarity between each of the objectives, the strategy to achieve in education, health and water supply and sewage could be financed through taxation, since there is serious problems implementation when funding is raised through debt. From a micro-simulation exercise assesses the impact of such strategies on poverty and income distribution, which reported modest progress in reducing poverty, due, primarily to positive behavior in the rate of unemployment on poverty; the results are encouraging, because it is very close to meeting the objective. This makes clear that a country like Colombia requires more than achieving the other MDGs, to achieve the goals in poverty