Tendencije razvojnih nejednakosti hrvatskih županija

Abstract

The research objective is to use the multi-criteria approach in order to analyse and establish the intensity of development disparties in Croatian counties since Croatia’s independence, as well as their development tendencies. According to the basic hypothesis, it is possible to use dynamics analysis and development characteristics of Croatian counties in the past 20 years in order to establish tendencies of regional disparities and the key regional development problems. The meta-analysis method was used in the research because there was a great variety of information. Former development of Croatian counties was analysed in the first step, measured by the range between the minimum and the maximum value of some of the previously used development indicators of Croatian counties. The extent of relative development disparities was established, as well as whether they had been increasing or reducing. The main result of the analysis is evaluation of tendencies and the present development level in individual counties, and the key reasons which had an impact on development. Measures for reduction of development disparities are proposed. A complex multi-criteria regional development analysis conducted in the research shows that, in the period between 1991 and 2009, eleven counties were developing, three were developing at a slower pace, one was stagnating, and six counties lagged behind in development, which is the basic conclusion of the research.Cilj istraživanja je višekriterijalnim pristupom istražiti i utvrditi intenzitet razvojnih nejednakosti u hrvatskim županijama te njihov razvojni smjer. Polazna hipoteza je da je moguće analizom dinamike i obilježja razvoja hrvatskih županija u proteklih 20 godina utvrditi tendencije regionalnih nejednakosti i ključne probleme regionalnog razvoja. U istraživanju, zbog većeg broja različitih podataka, primijenjena je metoda meta-analize. U prvom koraku analiziran je dosadašnji razvoj hrvatskih županija mjeren rasponom između najmanje i najveće vrijednosti nekih do sada korištenih pokazatelja razvijenosti hrvatskih županija. Utvrđeno je kolike su relativne razlike u njihovoj razvijenosti te jesu li se one smanjivale ili povećavale. Potom je analiziran njihov razvoj primjenom novih međunarodno prihvaćenih pokazatelja. Glavni rezultat analize je ocjena o kretanju i sadašnjoj razini razvijenosti pojedine županije te o ključnim uzrocima koji su na to utjecali. Slijedom toga predložene su mjere za smanjenje razlika u razvijenosti. Kompleksna višekriterijalna analiza regionalnog razvoja provedena u istraživanju, pokazala je da se u razdoblju 1991.-2009. godine 11 županija razvija, tri se razvijaju sa sporijim intenzitetom, jedna stagnira, a šest županija zaostaje u razvoju što je temeljni zaključak istraživanja

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