Croatia and the Region in the WEC’s Scenario Concept (WEC – World Energy Council)

Abstract

Najznačajniji World Energy Council (WEC) projekt u razdoblju od 2004. do 2007. godine je studija Energy Policy Scenarios to 2050, na kojem članovi WEC-a i nezavisni stručnjaci rade tri posljednje godine, a čiji su rezultati predstavljeni na kongresu u Rimu od 9. do 16. studenog 2007. godine. Energetska budućnost svijeta se promatra po kontinentima, pa je tako i energetska budućnost Europe jedan od podprojekata. Prateći koncept analize energetske budućnosti Europe u Energy Policy Scenarios to 2050 3, u ovom je članku obrađena regija jugoistočne Europe unutar Europe, a koja u spomenutom radu nije posebno promatrana. Razrađen je koncept mogućih scenarija regije, i povezanosti s događanjima u EU i ostalom dijelu Europe. Obzirom da se dijelovi regije znatno razlikuju po gospodarskoj snazi i razvojnom potencijalu, za regiju bi bilo korisno napraviti energetske analize prema razrađenom konceptu scenarija. Za razumijevanje problema i prepoznavanje mogućnosti regije analizirani su glavni energetski pokazatelji, posebno u dijelu koji se odnosi na električnu energiju i plin. Dane su preporuke o daljnjim aktivnostima, koje se dijelom odnose i na šire područje Europe.The most significant project of the World Energy Council (WEC), in the period from 2004 to 2007, is the Energy Policy Scenarios to 2050 study, in which the members of the WEC and independent experts have been working on for the last three years. The results of this were presented in the congress in Rome from November 9-16, 2007. The energy future of the world is viewed by continents, and because of this the energy future of Europe is one of the pre-projects. By following the concept of analyzing the energy future of Europe in the Energy Policy Scenarios to 20503, the region of southeastern Europe within Europe was processed. This region was not previously monitored in particular in this mentioned work. A concept was drawn up of possible region scenarios and a connection with events in EU and the rest of Europe. Since the region significantly differs by its economic strength as well as by its developmental potential, it would be useful for the region to have an energy analysis done according to the elaborated concept of the scenario. To make the problems and possibilities of the region more understandable, the main energy indicators were analyzed especially in the part which refers to electric energy and gas. Recommendations were given concerning further activities which partly also refer to the broader area of Europe