MODELLING OF STANDING BEECH TREES ASSORTMENT STRUCTURE

Abstract

Istraživanjem se nastojao izna}i prijedlog za poboljšanje postojećih modela procjene drvnih sortimenata koje koristi šumarska operativa. Poticaj istraživanju te tematike bili su česti navodi iz šumarske operative o neslaganju planskih vrijednosti sortimenata sa vrijednostima sortimenata ostvarenim u proizvodnom procesu (po kolićini i kvalitetnoj strukturi). U radu su istraženi međuodnosi planiranih količina drvnih sortimenata (po Hs-PPI programu) i procijenjenog obujma sortimenata od strane procjenitelja [umarskog instituta, Jastrebarsko te od strane šumarijskih djelatnika, na uzorcima s pet istraživanih lokaliteta. Istraživanim lokalitetima zahvaćene su četiri šumske zajednice, tri različita ekološko-gospodarska tipa šuma u V. dobnom razredu. U proredama na svih pet lokaliteta kori{tena je sortimentna metoda pri sječi i izradi drva. Temeljem rezultata koji ukazuju na zna~ajne korelacije izme|u obujma pojedinih sortimentnih klasa oblikovani su uvjeti za isklju~ivanje "nepravih nula" iz podataka uzorka prije regresijske analize obujma sortimentnih klasa. Analizom varijance triju varijabli "lokalitet", "način procjene" i "interakcija lokalitet način procjene", ustanovljeno je kako je "lokalitet" najutjecajnija varijabla na varijabilnost obujma sortimentnih klasa. Od ispitivanih matematičkih modela, model naziva "VD1" najpouzdanije opisuje razvoj obujma različitih sortimentnih klasa po debljinskim stupnjevima. Temeljem rezultata istraživanja, predlo`ena su pobolj{anja postoje}ih modela procjene drvnih sortimenata u primjeni, u vidu novih koeficijenata modela. Za preciznije i pouzdanije rezultate procjene obujma sortimenata na razini lokaliteta (sastojina/grupa stabala) nu`na su dodatna istraživanja.The paper presents a way to determine a proposal for improving existing models for evaluation of timber assortments, which are used by forestry operative units. The incentive for the investigation of this theme were the frequent reports from forestry operative units on inconsistency of the planned values of assortments with the values of assortments realised in the process of production (according to the amount and quality of the assortment structure). The paper examines the mutual relations of the planned amounts of timber assortments (according to Hs-PPI programme) and the estimated volume of assortments on the part of the estimator from Forest Research Institute, and the forestry employees, on samples from five investigated localities. The localities investigated covered four forestry communities, three different ecological-managerial forest types (EMFT) and 5 age class. In thinnings on all five localities an assortment method during logging was utilised. On the basis of the obtained results which indicate significant correlations between the volume of certain assortment classes, conditions were formed for exclusion of "unreal zeros" from the sample data prior to regression analyses of the volume of assortment classes. By analysis of variance of three variables "locality", "method of evaluation" and "interaction locality * method of evaluation" it was established that "locality" is the most influential variable on the variability of the volume of assortment classes. Of the tested mathematical models, model called "VD1" (VONDRA 1991) most reliably described the development of the volume of different assortment classes. On the basis of the results of the research, improvements in the existing models of evaluation of timber assortments were proposed, with regard to new model coefficients. Additional more investigations are necessary for more precise and reliable results of evaluation of the volume of assortments at the level of locality (stand/group of trees)

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