Generalized Pareto Copulas: A Key to Multivariate Extremes

Abstract

This paper reviews generalized Pareto copulas (GPC), which turn out to be a key to multivariate extreme value theory. Any GPC can be represented in an easy analytic way using a particular type of norm on $\mathbb{R}^d$, called $D$-norm. The characteristic property of a GPC is its exceedance stability. GPC might help to end the debate: What is a multivariate generalized Pareto distribution? We present an easy way how to simulate data from an arbitrary GPC and, thus, from an arbitrary generalized Pareto distribution. As an application we derive nonparametric estimates of the probability that a random vector, which follows a GPC, exceeds a high threshold, together with confidence intervals. A case study on joint exceedance probabilities for air pollutants completes the paper.Comment: 38 page