Comparative analysis of the production risk of major fruit species

Abstract

Hungary possesses excellent agri-ecological potentials even in an international comparison. Despite their decreasing economicweight, agriculture and food production are of great significance, since the supply of the population with high quality and inexpensive foodis a fundamental social demand and one of the essentials of the quality of life. The development of vegetable and food production is of greatimportance both from the aspect of healthy nutrition and comparative advantages (cheap workforce, professional expertise, traditions ofproduction, climate favourable for quality). Within the Hungarian fruit production apple and sour cherry are essential branches in virtue oftheir significance. It is widely known, that – though to a different extent in the case of certain fruit varieties – satisfaction of the need forappropriate habitat is one of the important conditions of a decent quality and secure production. In my research, I analyse the territorialdistribution, production standard and production risk of the Hungarian apple and sour cherry branches. I did not have the opportunity –because of the imperfections of the database – to compare long time series, therefore I examine the random effects affecting production byusing the data of 3 years (they have the same content). I ranked and assessed each habitat and the production risks of certain fruit speciescompared to each other on the basis of indexes of relative deviation

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