CORE
🇺🇦
make metadata, not war
Services
Services overview
Explore all CORE services
Access to raw data
API
Dataset
FastSync
Content discovery
Recommender
Discovery
OAI identifiers
OAI Resolver
Managing content
Dashboard
Bespoke contracts
Consultancy services
Support us
Support us
Membership
Sponsorship
Community governance
Advisory Board
Board of supporters
Research network
About
About us
Our mission
Team
Blog
FAQs
Contact us
The impacts of future climate change on water resources in the Heihe Watershed on the Loess Plateau
Authors
刘文兆
张勋昌
李志
郑粉莉
Publication date
1 January 2009
Publisher
Abstract
气候变化对黄土高原的水资源有重要影响,对其影响进行评估可以为区域发展提供重要的决策依据。基于分布式水文模型SWAT和4种全球环流模式的各3种排放情景,评估了2010~2039年黄土高塬沟壑区黑河流域水资源对气候变化的潜在响应。结果表明,黑河流域2010~2039年的年均降水变化-2.3%~7.8%,年均最高和最低温度分别升高0.7~2.2℃和1.2~2.8℃,年均径流量变化-19.8%~37.0%,1.2m剖面年均土壤水分含量变化-5.5%~17.2%,年均蒸散量普遍增长0.1%~5.9%;水文气象变量变化趋势复杂,但T检验表明年降水、径流、土壤水分和蒸散增长的概率较大。对于季节变化,降水可能在12~7月份和9月份增长,8月份和10~11月份减少;径流在4~7月份和9~10月份增加,11~3月份和8月份减少;土壤水分在各月都增长;蒸散11~6月份普遍增长,7~10月份减少的可能性较大。未来气候将发生显著变化并对水资源有重要影响,需采取必要的措施来减缓其不利影响
Similar works
Full text
Available Versions
Institute of Soil and Water Conservation,Chinese Academy of Sciences and Ministry of Water Resources
See this paper in CORE
Go to the repository landing page
Download from data provider
oai:ir.iswc.ac.cn/:361005/258
Last time updated on 21/09/2018