Canberra, ACT : The Australian National University
Doi
Abstract
This study attempts to analyse the impact of the family planning
programme on fertility in Pakistan during 1976-85. Data on family
planning acceptors were obtained from the Population Welfare Division,
Government of Pakistan. Secondary data from the 1975 Pakistan
Fertility Survey, the 1981 Census and the 1984 Contraceptive Prevelance
Survey have been used for estimating the family planning programme
effect on fertility.
The estimated contraceptive use on the basis of service statistics
has been compared with survey results. A brief comparison has also been
made between the last decade (1975-85) and the first decade (1965-75)
of the programme operation in terms of contraceptive use. Areas of
further investigation are also identified for generating the data
required for adequate monitoring of the family planning programme and
its effect on fertility.
Indirect estimates of contraceptive use have also been derived
using bivariate regression between the reported contraceptive use and
the values of the "m" parameter for 26 countries. The values of "m"
were obtained by Coale and Trussell's method. These values signify
deliberate fertility control in a population at a particular period in
time. The indirectly estimated contraceptive use levels are found to be
consistent (around 20 per cent) and on the basis of this analysis, are
judged to be more accurate than the levels reported in surveys (5 to 10
percent)