A Decision Support System for Photovoltaic Potential Estimation

Abstract

With knowledge on the photovoltaic potential of individual residential buildings, solar companies, energy service providers and electric utilities can identify suitable customers for new PV installations and directly address them in renewable energy rollout and maintenance campaigns. However, many currently used solutions for the simulation of energy generation require detailed information about houses (roof tilt, shading, etc.) that is usually not available at scale. On the other hand, the methodologies enabling extraction of such details require costly remote-sensing data from three-dimensional (3D) laser scanners or aerial images. To bridge this gap, we present a decision support system (DSS) that estimates the potential amount of electric energy that could be generated at a given location if a photovoltaic system would be installed. The DSS automatically generates insights about photovoltaic yields of individual roofs by analyzing freely available data sources, including the crowdsourced volunteered geospatial information systems OpenStreetMap and climate databases. The resulting estimates pose a valuable foundation for selecting the most prospective households (e.g., for personal visit and screening by an expert) and targeted solar panel kit offerings, ultimately leading to significant reduction of manual human efforts, and to cost-effective personalized renewables adoption