Development of Lead Source-specific Exposure Standards Based on Aggregate Exposure Assessment: Bayesian Inversion from Biomonitoring Information to Multipathway Exposure

Abstract

Exposure of children to lead is of great concern, and the exposure standards for different media are important for protecting public safety. However, these media-specific standards often fail to ensure the safety of children even when environmental lead levels are lower than the quality standards since humans are often exposed to lead via multiple pathways. To establish exposure standards to protect children from hazards associated with exposure to lead, an analytical tool for assessing aggregate exposure to lead based on Bayesian hierarchical model was developed, and then was used to update the external lead exposure of diet, paint, soil, air and drinking water using the blood lead levels in Chinese children aged 1–6 years. On the basis of updated external exposure, the source allocations for diet, paint, soil, air, and drinking water in China were 65.80 ± 7.92%, 16.98 ± 7.88%, 13.65 ± 5.05%, 3.36 ± 1.75%, and 0.20 ± 0.14%, respectively. Based on the estimated source allocations, the exposure standards were evaluated to be 0.2 μg/m³, 24.25 mg/kg, 0.027 μg/L, 0.051 μg/mg, 0.042 μg/mg, 38.02 μg/mg for air, soil, water, grains, vegetables, and paint, respectively. Since the standards setting procedure was based on the multipathway aggregate exposure assessment of lead, the newly proposed exposure standards should ensure the safety of children