On the impact of divergent part of the wind computed from INSAT OLR data on global analysis and forecast fields

Abstract

In this paper, a procedure for the computation of the divergent part of wind from Outgoing Longwave Radiation (OLR) data is described. This divergent part is included in the global analysis scheme and its impact is studied by computing the vertical velocity, velocity potential etc., using the analysed fields with and without modifying the divergent part and also making 24 hr and 48 hr rainfall forecasts. Results show that magnitudes of vertical velocity were increased when the divergent part was modified in the wind analysis. There were also changes observed in the analysed wind field over convective regions and the changes over the oceanic regions were higher, suggesting that the impact of divergent part is more pronounced over data sparse regions. Marginal increase was observed in 24 hr and 48 hr rainfall forecast over the Indian region. The area averaged rainfall forecast at each time step in the first 6 hours of model integration was also higher in the case when the wind field contained the divergent part. To sum up, it can be stated that the inclusion of the divergent part from OLR data in the initial wind field has brought out positive impact on the wind analyses and rainfall forecast

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