AC Ghani

BS Cooper

C Fraser

CA Donnelly

CE Mills

D Klinkenberg

G Chowell

G Scalia Tomba

GM Leung

HJ Wearing

IM Longini Jr.

J Wallinga

JE Aledort

JK Taubenberger

JO Lloyd-Smith

JS Peiris

JT Wu

M Lipsitch

M Ofner-Agostini

MC Bootsma

MG Roberts

NC Grassly

NM Ferguson

O Diekmann

PE Fine

RJ Hatchett

RJ Pitman

RM Anderson

S Cauchemez

S Mounier-Jack

S Riley

T Déirdre Hollingsworth

TD Hollingsworth

V Colizza

YM Loo

Journal of Public Health Policy

Epidemiological analysis and mathematical models are now essential tools in understanding the dynamics of infectious diseases and in designing public health strategies to contain them. They have provided fundamental concepts, such as the basic and effective reproduction number, generation times, epidemic growth rates, and the role of pre-symptomatic infectiousness, which are crucial in characterising infectious diseases. These concepts are outlined and their relevance in designing control policies for outbreaks is discussed. They are illustrated using examples from the 2003 severe acute respiratory syndrome outbreak, which was brought under control within a year, and from pandemic influenza planning, where mathematical models have been used extensively

Hollingsworth, T. Déirdre

Warwick Research Archives Portal Repository

English

A new method for estimating the effort required to control an infectious disease.

A simple explanation for the low impact of border control as a countermeasure to the spread of an infectious disease.

Appropriate models for the management of infectious diseases.

Comparative estimation of the reproduction number for pandemic influenza from daily case notification data.

Containing pandemic influenza at the source.

Containing pandemic influenza with antiviral agents.

Coronavirus as a possible cause of severe acute respiratory syndrome.

Delaying the International Spread of Pandemic Influenza.

Different epidemic curves for severe acute respiratory syndrome reveal similar impacts of control measures.

Entry screening for severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) or influenza: policy evaluation.

Epidemiological and genetic analysis of severe acute respiratory syndrome.

Epidemiological determinants of spread of causal agent of severe acute respiratory syndrome in Hong Kong.

Epidemiology, transmission dynamics and control of SARS: the 2002-2003 epidemic.

Factors that make an infectious disease outbreak controllable.

HIV-1 Transmission, by Stage of Infection.

How generation intervals shape the relationship between growth rates and reproductive numbers.

Infectious Diseases of Humans: Dynamics and Control.

Influenza: fatal immunity and the 1918 virus.

Influenza: the mother of all pandemics.

Investigation of the second wave (phase 2) of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) in Toronto, Canada. What happened?

Large-scale spatial-transmission models of infectious disease.

Mathematical Epidemiology of Infectious Diseases: Model Building, Analysis and Interpretation.

Mathematical models of infectious disease transmission.

Model-consistent estimation of the basic reproduction number from the incidence of an emerging infection.

Modeling the Worldwide Spread of Pandemic Influenza: Baseline Case and Containment Interventions.

Non-pharmaceutical public health interventions for pandemic influenza: an evaluation of the evidence base.

Organisation. &quot;Epidemic and pandemic response pages,&quot;

Populations and Infectious-Diseases - Ecology or Epidemiology - the 8th Tansley Lecture.

Progress and shortcomings in European national strategic plans for pandemic influenza.

Public health interventions and epidemic intensity during the 1918 influenza pandemic.

Real-time estimates in early detection of SARS.

Reducing the Impact of the Next Influenza Pandemic Using Household-Based Public Health Interventions.

Strategies for containing an emerging influenza pandemic in Southeast Asia.

Strategies for mitigating an influenza pandemic.

Superspreading and the effect of individual variation on disease emergence.

The effect of public health measures on the 1918 influenza pandemic in U.S. cities.

The effectiveness of contact tracing in emerging epidemics.

The epidemiology of severe acute respiratory syndrome in the 2003 Hong Kong epidemic: An analysis of all 1755 patients.

The interval between successive cases of an infectious disease.

The role of the airline transportation network in the prediction and predictability of global epidemics.

Transmissibility of 1918 pandemic influenza.

Transmission dynamics and control of severe acute respiratory syndrome.

Transmission dynamics of the etiological agent of SARS in Hong Kong: Impact of public health interventions.

Will travel restrictions control the international spread of pandemic influenza?

Controlling infectious disease outbreaks : lessons from mathematical modelling

Crossref

Controlling infectious disease outbreaks: Lessons from mathematical modelling

Epidemiological analysis and mathematical models are now essential tools in understanding the dynamics of infectious diseases and in designing public health strategies to contain them. They have provided fundamental concepts, such as the basic and effective reproduction number, generation times, epidemic growth rates, and the role of pre-symptomatic infectiousness, which are crucial in characterising infectious diseases. These concepts are outlined and their relevance in designing control policies for outbreaks is discussed. They are illustrated using examples from the 2003 severe acute respiratory syndrome outbreak, which was brought under control within a year, and from pandemic influenza planning, where mathematical models have been used extensively.Accepted versio

Hollingsworth, TD

Spiral - Imperial College Digital Repository

Controlling infectious disease outbreaks: Lessons from mathematical modelling.

http://wrap.warwick.ac.uk/51880/1/WRAP_Hollingsworth%20Modelling%20Outbreaks%20J%20Pub%20Health%20Policy%202009%20post%20print.pdf

Controlling infectious disease outbreaks: Lessons from mathematical modelling.

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Warwick Research Archives Portal Repository

Crossref

Spiral - Imperial College Digital Repository