刘莉娜

曲建升

黄雨生

National Science Library,Chinese Academy of Sciences

?????????32??6??2016?6?? Ecological Economy, Vol. 32, No. 6 (June 2016)????????????????????1????1, 2????1?1. ????  ??????  ???????????????  ??  730000?2. ?????????????  ?????????????  ??  730000??????????????????????????????30???????????????????????????????????2012?????????????????????8 987 302.28 kt?1 797 728.81 kt?7 189 573.47 kt????????????????????????6.70 t?1.36 t?5.34 t??????????2012???????????????9.43%???????????????10.53%?????????????????????16????????????????????13????????????????????12???????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????F062.2       ??????A        ?????1671-4407(2016)06-038-06Research on the Differences of Carbon Footprint and Carbon Carrying Capacity Based on Provincial Level in ChinaHUANG Yusheng1, QU Jiansheng1,2, LIU Lina1(1. Key Laboratory of Western Environmental Systems (Ministry of Education), College of Earth Environment Sciences, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou Gansu 730000, China;2. Information Center for Global Change Studies, Lanzhou Library of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou Gansu 730000, China)Abstract: With fossil fuels and forest resource data of each province of China in 2012, this work first estimates carbon footprint and carbon carrying capacity based on the method of apparent consumption and carbon footprint and carbon carrying capacity calculation model, and then analyzes its regional differences. The results shows that: the total amount of carbon footprint, carbon carrying capacity, and net carbon footprint are 8 987 302.28, 1 797 728.81, and 7 189 573.47 kt respectively, and per capita carbon footprint, carbon carrying capacity, and net carbon footprint are 6.70, 1.36, and 5.34 t per person, separately. Making a further analysis of carbon footprint and carbon carrying capacity on the provincial level, we fi nd that Shandong province has the highest total carbon footprint in China, which accounts for 9.43%, while the province with the highest total carbon carrying capacity is Yunnan, which accounts for 10.53% of the total carbon capacity throughout the country. Moreover, compared to the national average level in 2012, we fi nd that there are 16 provinces that per capita carbon footprint was higher than the national level, 13 provinces that per capita carbon carrying capacity was higher than the national level, and 12 provinces that per capita net carbon footprint was higher than the national level. We also fi nd that both carbon footprint and net carbon footprint are higher in the North Region than those in the South Region, while carbon carrying capacity is lower in the North Region than that in the South Region.Key words: energy consumption; carbon footprint; carbon carrying capacity: net carbon footprint; regional difference???????????????????????????????????????XDA05140100?????????????????????????????????????????41371537??????????1993?  ??????????????????????????????????????1  ????????????????????????CO2????????????1970? 2004?????????? 80%[1]??????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????? CO2?? [2? 5]???????????????????????????????Hertwich? [6]??? 73?????????????Wiedmann? [7]????? 1990? 2008??????Zhao? [8]??????????????????????????????32??6??2016?6?? Ecological Economy, Vol. 32, No. 6 (June 2016)????????????????? [11]????CC?????????????kt?cc????????????? /??S???????????hm2?CNEP ?? 1 hm2 ??? 1 ??????????t?hm-2?a-1????????????NEP??????????????? [17]??????????? 1?????????????????????????????????? NEP? 1.78 t?hm-2?a-1?????????? NEP? 1.43 t?hm-2?a-1?????????? NEP?? 2.84 t?hm-2?a-1????????? NEP????2.51 t?hm-2?a-1??1  ??????????? ??????? ??????????????????? ???????????????????????????????? ?????????????????????????????????????????????? ??2.4  ????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????NCF???????????kt?3  ?????????? 2012?????????????????2012?????????? 8 987 302.28 kt???????????????? 7 164 252.1 kt???????? 79.72%???????????? 1 570 750.55 kt???????? 17.48%?????????????252 299.63 kt???????? 2.80%?????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????2012??????????? 1 797 728.81 kt???????? 7 189 573.47 kt????????????????????????????????????????????????3.1  ??????????????????????????????????????2012??????????????????????? 2??????????????????????????????? [9]??????????? 1992? 2007??????????????? [10]??????????????????????????? 2000? 2007???????????? [11]???????????????????????????????? [12]???????? 2001? 2009 ??????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????? 2012???????????????????????????????????????????????????? 2003? 2014??????????????????????????????????????????2  ?????????2.1  ????2012?????????????????????????? 2013?[13]?????????????????? 2013?[14]????????????????????????????????????????????????2.2  ???????????????? CO2????? 2012?????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????2006? IPCC???????????[15]?????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????cf???????????? /??N??????Ai??????????????????kt?ei????????????????TJ/kt?ci???????????????tC/TJ?oi??????????????????????? 99%?????????? 98%?????????? 99.5%?2.3  ???????????????????????? [11]???????????? [3]???? [16]????????????????? [12]???????????????????????????????????? 2012?????????32??6??2016?6?? Ecological Economy, Vol. 32, No. 6 (June 2016)????? 847 259.02 kt? 641 670.36 kt???????????? 9.43%? 7.14%??????????????????????????????????????????????????????? 42 697.79 kt? 36 090.06 kt??????????????? 0.48%? 0.40%????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????? [18]??? 2002??? 2007?????????????????2012?????????????????????????? 2??????????????????????????189 330.99 kt? 177 416.13 kt??????????????????????????????????????????? 35%??????????????? 66%??????????????????????????????? 709.15 kt? 585.16 kt?????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????? 35%????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????? 20%????????? 10%??????????? 1???2012???????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????2012?????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????3.2  ?????????????????2012??????????????????????????? 3???? 6.70 t?1.36 t? 5.34 t??????????????????????????????????????????? 25.22 t????????21.43 t????????????? 3.12 t?????????????????? 6.53 t????????? 4.07 t????????????????? 0.04 t?????????????? 20.92 t????????? 18.69 t?????????????? 0.01 t?? 2??????????????????????? 16???????????????? 13???????????????? 12??2012???????????????????????????????????????????? 2???????????? 2?a???????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????? 2?b???????2  2012???????????????????????? ????kt??????kt??????kt? ??????kt??????kt??????kt??? 104 937.14 3083.60 101 853.54 ?? 415 872.22 18 827.24 397 044.98?? 157 528.35 585.16 156 943.19 ?? 332 582.56 74 336.62 258 245.94?? 641 670.36 23 035.54 618 634.82 ?? 256 794.42 105 376.69 151 417.73?? 482 745.01 14 807.70 467 937.31 ?? 461796.97 94 358.34 367 438.63??? 628 032.62 162 376.94 465 655.68 ?? 165 324.90 139 819.83 25 505.07?? 465 295.24 36 373.77 428 921.47 ?? 36 090.06 17 281.10 18 808.96?? 221 634.05 49 855.25 171 778.8 ?? 151 325.30 32 951.95 118 373.35??? 302 920.72 128 061.68 174 859.04 ?? 293 894.64 177 416.13 116 478.51?? 195 563.67 709.15 194 854.52 ?? 242 690.88 68 035.51 174 655.37?? 563 689.72 16 880.01 546 809.71 ?? 190 252.03 189 330.99 921.04?? 348 820.39 62 621.62 286 198.77 ?? 268 435.98 44 738.22 223 697.76?? 286 914.73 39 614.40 247 300.33 ?? 141 347.74 26 607.30 114 740.44?? 211 498.52 83 438.92 128 059.6 ?? 42 697.79 21 308.38 21 389.41?? 140 470.66 104 321.81 36 148.85 ?? 138 641.03 3240.38 135 400.65?? 847 259.02 13 349.53 833 909.49 ?? 250 575.56 44 985.05 205 590.51?3  ??????????????????????????????????t????????t????????t?????????t????????t????????t??? 5.07 0.15 4.92 ?? 4.42 0.18 4.24?? 11.15 0.04 11.11 ?? 5.78 1.28 4.50?? 8.80 0.33 8.47 ?? 3.87 1.58 2.29?? 13.37 0.40 12.97 ?? 4.36 0.88 3.48??? 25.22 6.53 18.69 ?? 3.53 2.97 0.56?? 10.60 0.84 9.76 ?? 4.07 1.94 2.13?? 8.06 1.80 6.26 ?? 5.14 1.14 4.00??? 7.90 3.34 4.56 ?? 3.64 2.20 1.44?? 8.22 0.04 8.18 ?? 6.97 1.94 5.03?? 7.12 0.22 6.90 ?? 4.08 4.07 0.01?? 6.37 1.14 5.23 ?? 7.15 1.21 5.94?? 4.79 0.66 4.1 3 ?? 5.48 1.03 4.45?? 5.64 2.24 3.40 ?? 7.95 3.96 3.99?? 3.12 2.31 0.81 ?? 21.43 0.51 20.92?? 8.75 0.15 8.60 ?? 11.22 2.02 9.2?????????32??6??2016?6?? Ecological Economy, Vol. 32, No. 6 (June 2016)????????????????????????????????????????????????????4  ??4.1  2003?2012????????2003? 2012???????????????????? 3??2008?????????????????? 2008?????????? 2012??????8 987 302.28 kt? ? 2003 ? ? 2.43 ??2003 ? 2012 ?????????????????????????????????????????????????bcabca?1  2012??????????????????????? ?2  ????????????????????????????2003? 2012??????????????????????????????????2008????????????????????? 2008 ?????????? 2012?????????? 7 164 252.10 kt??2003????2012?????????????? 4 308 053.04 kt?2003? 2012?????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????? 791 247.71kt?4.2  ????????????????????????????????????????32??6??2016?6?? Ecological Economy, Vol. 32, No. 6 (June 2016)????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????1949??????????? 8.60%[19]??????? 718 745.61 kt?1950? 1962????????????????????? 11.81%[19]?????????? 987 021.60 kt?1973? 1976?????????????????????????????????? 12.70%[19]???????????????????????????????????????????? 1977? 1981??????????????????????? 12%[19]???????? 1 002 900.84 kt?1984? 1988???????????????????????????? 12.98%[20]???????1 084 804.42 kt????????????????????????????????????????????? 2009? 2013???????????????????????? 21.63%[14]?????? 7 189 573.47 kt?2009???????????????????????[21]??????? 2020?????????? 500???????????????????2011? 2020??[22]???????? 2020?????? 5700????????? 2020??????????? 2 263 836.45 kt??????????? 2050??? 2020??????? 4700???????????????? 2 639 925.24 kt???????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????? 2008?????? 2374??????????? 123 003.47 kt????????? 7.25%????????????? 2050?????????????181 774.63 kt????????? 10.06%?????????? 2010??????????? 3200?????????? 210 992.10 kt????????? 12.44%?????????????????????? 9000???????????? 39 561.87 kt?4.3  ??????????????????????????????????????????????????????????CO2???????????????????????????????????????????????2006? IPCC??????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????2006? 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中国各省份碳足迹与碳承载力差异研究

http://ir.las.ac.cn/bitstream/12502/8638/1/2016-%e7%94%9f%e6%80%81%e7%bb%8f%e6%b5%8e-%e9%bb%84%e9%9b%a8%e7%94%9f-%e4%b8%ad%e5%9b%bd%e5%90%84%e7%9c%81%e4%bb%bd%e7%a2%b3%e8%b6%b3%e8%bf%b9%e4%b8%8e%e7%a2%b3%e6%89%bf%e8%bd%bd%e5%8a%9b%e5%b7%ae%e5%bc%82%e7%a0%94%e7%a9%b6.pdf

中国各省份碳足迹与碳承载力差异研究

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