Pengaruh Nilai Tukar Harga Kakao Internasional dan Produksi Kakao Domestik terhadap Total Volume Ekspor Kakao di Indonesia (Studi pada Total Volume Ekspor Kakao Periode 2005-2015)

Abstract

This research aims to know development of Indonesian cocoa's industry and the factors which influence the Indonesian cocoa exports.. Independent variables in this research is the Exchange Rate (X1), International Cocoa Prices (X2), and Domestic Production of Cocoa (X3) with Cocoa Exports in Indonesia (Y) as dependet variable. The type of research is explanatory research, with a quantitative approach. The research uses data of cocoa exports from period of 2005-2015. Data analysis using multiple linear regression statistical. The coefficient of determination value (R2) is 0,501 which means that that the independent variables Domestic Production of Cocoa, International Cocoa Prices, and the Exhange Rate affects 50,1% of the dependent variable Indonesian Cocoa Exports and the remaining 49,9% is explained by other variables which not examined in this research. According to the result of simultaneous test (F test), indicating that Domestic Production of Cocoa, International Cocoa Prices, and the Exhange Rate has significant effect on Volume of Cocoa Exports in Indonesia. While the partial test results (t test), indicates that Domestic Production of Cocoa significantly influence on Cocoa Exports in Indonesia. The other result, the Exchange Rate, and the International Price of Cocoa indicates an insignificant influence on Cocoa Exports in Indonesia