Permanent and temporary shocks to government spending: an empirical approach

Abstract

Cointegration between government spending and output is rarely considered in fiscal re­search. Motivated by this potential long ­run relationship, the paper focuses on separating temporary from permanent shocks to government spending using a SVECM. In particular,thisdecompositionrevealsthatgovernmentexpendituredataisindeedamixofstabilisationinterventions and responses to economic growth. The interpretation of these shocks is thenusedtoinfertheconsequencesoftemporaryincreasesingovernmentspending. Controlling for cointegration delivers results consistent with existent literature, yet the effects seem to be less persistent as the impact on output rapidly converges to zero

    Similar works