Towards reinventing the statistical system of the central bank of nigeria for enhanced knowledge creation

Abstract

Dissertation presented as the partial requirement for obtaining a Master's degree in Statistics and Information Management, specialization in Information Analysis and ManagementThe Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) produces statistics that meet some of the data needs of monetary policy and other uses. How well this is fulfilled by the CBN is consequent on the quality of its statistical system, which has direct implication for knowledge creation through processed mass of statistical information. Questionnaires based on IMF Data Quality Assessment Frameworks (DQAFs) for BOP & IIP Statistics, and monetary statistics are applied to evaluate the quality of the CBN statistical system. Extant sound practices and deficiencies of the statistical system are identified; while improvement measures and statistical innovations are suggested. Enabled by relevant organic laws, the CBN compiles statistics in a supportive environment with commensurate human and work tool resources that meet the needs of statistical programs. Statistics production is carried out impartially and professionally, in broad conformity with IMF statistics manuals and compilation guides, regarding concepts, scope, classification and sectorization; and in compliance with e‐GDDS periodicity and timeliness for dissemination. Other observed sound statistical practices include valuation of transactions and positions using market prices or appropriate proxies; and recording, generally, of flows and stocks on accrual basis; while compiled statistics are consistent within datasets and reconcilable over a time period; etc. Some of the generic weaknesses are absence of statistics procedural guide; lack of routine evaluation and monitoring of statistical processes; inadequacy of branding to distinctively identify the bank’s statistical products; non‐disclosure of changes in statistical practices; non‐conduct of revision studies; and metadata concerns. The BOP & IIP statistics weaknesses comprise coverage inadequacies, sectorization/classification issues, lack of routine assessment of source data and inadequate assessment and validation of intermediate data and statistical output; while for monetary statistics, non‐compilation of the OFCS is identified apart from the generic. Recommendations include broadening source data, developing useroriented statistical quality manuals, establishing comprehensive manuals of procedures and their corresponding statistical compilation techniques, integrating statistical auditing into the statistical system, enhancing metadata and conducting revision studies, among others

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