Study of Transforming Causal Maps to Bayesian Causal Maps

Abstract

The objective of this paper is to introduce the concept of Bayesian causal mapping which is build from causal maps (CMs). CMs provide a rich representation of ideas, through the modeling of complex structures --representing the chain of arguments-- as networks. However, CMs is not easy to define and the magnitude of the effect is difficult to express in numbers. Hence, Bayesian causal maps can be used to make inferences in CMs

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