The Standard-Model (SM) prediction for the CP-violating quantity
ϵK′/ϵK deviates from its measured value by 2.8
σ. It has been shown that this tension can be resolved within the
Minimal Supersymmetric Standard Model (MSSM) through gluino-squark box
diagrams, even if squarks and gluinos are much heavier than 1 TeV. The rare
decays KL→π0ννˉ and K+→π+ννˉ are
similarly sensitive to very high mass scales and the first one also measures CP
violation. In this article, we analyze the correlations between
ϵK′/ϵK and B(KL→π0ννˉ) and B(K+→π+ννˉ) within the MSSM aiming at an explanation of
ϵK′/ϵK via gluino-squark box diagrams. The dominant
MSSM contribution to the K→πννˉ branching fractions stems from
box diagrams with squarks, sleptons, charginos, and neutralinos, and the
pattern of the correlations is different from the widely studied Z-penguin
scenarios. This is interesting in light of future precision measurements by
KOTO and NA62 at J-PARC and CERN, respectively. We find B(KL→π0ννˉ)/BSM(KL→π0ννˉ)≲2(1.2) and
B(K+→π+ννˉ)/BSM(K+→π+ννˉ)≲1.4(1.1), if all squark masses are above 1.5 TeV, gaugino masses obey GUT
relations, and if one allows for a fine-tuning at the 1%(10%) level for
the gluino mass. Larger values are possible for a tuned CP violating phase.
Furthermore, the sign of the MSSM contribution to ϵK′ imposes
a strict correlation between B(KL→π0ννˉ) and the hierarchy
between the masses mUˉ, mDˉ of the right-handed up-squark
and down-squark: sgn[B(KL→π0ννˉ)−BSM(KL→π0ννˉ)]=sgn(mUˉ−mDˉ).Comment: 9 pages, 5 figures; references added, version published in PR