Forecasting regional wind production based on weather similarity and site clustering for the EEM20 Competition

Abstract

International audiencePrecise probabilistic forecasting tools of wind power generation are essential for solving problems related to the impact of wind generation uncertainty on electrical systems. In this context, the International Conference on the European Energy Market EEM20 set up a competition aiming at forecasting wind power generation for the four Swedish bidding zones. Participants had to generate day-ahead quantile forecasts of the aggregated wind power production from Numerical Weather Predictions (NWPs) ensembles provided all over the country [1]