On the analysis of tuberculosis studies with intermittent missing sputum data

Abstract

In randomized studies evaluating treatments for tuberculosis (TB), individuals are scheduled to be routinely evaluated for the presence of TB using sputum cultures. One important endpoint in such studies is the time of culture conversion, the first visit at which a patient’s sputum culture is negative and remains negative. This article addresses how to draw inference about treatment effects when sputum cultures are intermittently missing on some patients. We discuss inference under a novel benchmark assumption and under a class of assumptions indexed by a treatment-specific sensitivity parameter that quantify departures from the benchmark assumption. We motivate and illustrate our approach using data from a randomized trial comparing the effectiveness of two treatments for adult TB patients in Brazil.Fil: Scharfstein, Daniel. University Johns Hopkins; Estados UnidosFil: Rotnitzky, Andrea Gloria. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina. Universidad Torcuato Di Tella. Departamento de Economía; ArgentinaFil: Abraham, Maria. Statistics Collaborative; Estados UnidosFil: McDermott, Aidan. University Johns Hopkins; Estados UnidosFil: Chaisson, Richard. University Johns Hopkins; Estados UnidosFil: Geiter, Lawrence. Otsuka Novel Products; Estados Unido