We determine the spectrum of scalar masses in a supersymmetric vacuum of a
general N=1 supergravity theory, with the Kahler potential and superpotential
taken to be random functions of N complex scalar fields. We derive a random
matrix model for the Hessian matrix and compute the eigenvalue spectrum.
Tachyons consistent with the Breitenlohner-Freedman bound are generically
present, and although these tachyons cannot destabilize the supersymmetric
vacuum, they do influence the likelihood of the existence of an `uplift' to a
metastable vacuum with positive cosmological constant. We show that the
probability that a supersymmetric AdS vacuum has no tachyons is formally
equivalent to the probability of a large fluctuation of the smallest eigenvalue
of a certain real Wishart matrix. For normally-distributed matrix entries and
any N, this probability is given exactly by P = exp(-2N^2|W|^2/m_{susy}^2),
with W denoting the superpotential and m_{susy} the supersymmetric mass scale;
for more general distributions of the entries, our result is accurate when N >>
1. We conclude that for |W| \gtrsim m_{susy}/N, tachyonic instabilities are
ubiquitous in configurations obtained by uplifting supersymmetric vacua.Comment: 26 pages, 6 figure