Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Engineering Systems Division
Abstract
In this paper, an engineering systems framework using the CLIOS Process, scenario analysis, and flexibility analysis is used to study the implementation of a high-speed rail corridor in the Northeast Corridor of the United States. Given the tremendous uncertainty that characterizes high-speed rail projects, the implementation of the alternatives proposed, which are very similar to other commonly accepted ways to implement high-speed rail in the corridor, are analyzed under different scenarios. The results motivate incorporation of flexibility into the alternatives to allow decision makers to adapt as situations evolve. While designing-in this flexibility has a cost, it may facilitate the implementation of the alternatives by enabling adaptation to uncertain outcomes, thereby improving performance