Chowdury, M.

Ciborowski, J.

Hein, D.

Janes, T.

Zhang, L.

Zhao, Y.

Scholarship at UWindsor

Journal of Environmental Indicators, 9:73, 2015 Copyright © International Society of Environmental Indicators  Open Access: www.environmentalindicators.net !!! ! 73 The Great Lakes Area Climate Change (Temperature and Precipitation) Forecast for the Year 2050: Based on PRECIS High Resolution RCM (25 Km x 25 Km) Analysis Results  ZHANG, L.1,2, ZHAO, Y.1,2, JANES, T.3, HEIN, D.3, CHOWDURY, M.1,2 & CIBOROWSKI, J.2   1 Ontario Ministry of Natural Resources, Lake Erie Fisheries Station, Wheatley, ON, Canada  2 Department of Biological Sciences, University of Windsor, Windsor, ON, Canada 3 Hadley Centre, Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom   The Laurentian Great Lakes contains about one-fifth of the world’s surface freshwater and eight-tenth of North America’s. The climate changes of this area may affect water supply, tourism, shipping, fish resources and many other issues in North America. In this study, we applied a Regional Climate Model - PRECIS, which was developed at the Hadley Centre of Met Office of UK to generate a high resolution (25 km x 25 km) of future climate conditions for the Great Lakes basin. The PRECIS was validated by some observed climate data, while future climate conditions were projected based on the SRES_A1B Emissions Scenario. Our analysis shows that future (2050s) Great Lakes area temperature may increase 3.25 °C in winter and 2.87 °C in summer, respectively. For the 2050s, winter precipitation (snow) of upper and lower Great Lakes areas may, on average, increase 0.4 mm/day and 1.0 mm/day, respectively, and the 2050s summer precipitation of the upper and lower watersheds also may increase 0.2-0.3 mm/day and 0.7 mm/day, respectively. Our further research will utilize those climate change data predictions to study the impacts of climate changes on the Great Lakes fish habitats.

The Great Lakes Area Climate Change (Temperature and Precipitation) Forecast for the Year 2050: Based on PRECIS High Resolution RCM (25km x 25km) Analysis Results

http://scholar.uwindsor.ca/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1052&context=icei2015

The Great Lakes Area Climate Change (Temperature and Precipitation) Forecast for the Year 2050: Based on PRECIS High Resolution RCM (25km x 25km) Analysis Results

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Scholarship at UWindsor