Social networks have revolutionized the world by reshaping the way people
communicate, interact and live. Facebook was the main propeller of this
transformation and is still the undisputed market leader. Twitter also presents a wide
(even though smaller) user base, which has been experiencing a slow down during the
past year, affecting the company’s financials and its stability.
Inspired in news and market rumors, this dissertation aims to extensively analyze the
potential acquisition of Twitter, Inc. by Facebook, Inc., focusing on (but not limited
to) the perspective of the latter. Taking into account the operational specificities of
each company and the industry landscape, I valued both companies on a standalone
basis and reached a per share DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) value of 104.98forFacebookand17.49 for Twitter.
The main argument of the dissertation – the viability of this deal – is supported by
potential estimated synergies up to 14,133million(optimisticscenario)tobederivedfromacombinationofbothcompanies.Isuggestabidpremiumof51amixedpaymentstructurecomposedby86.6anexchangeratioof0.23)and13.4totalinganofferof27.65 per share.
According to my assumptions and the conducted analysis, both parties should
seriously consider such deal since it benefits their shareholders