A state estimator is an algorithm that computes the current state of a time-varying system from on-line measurements. Physical quantities such as measurements and parameters are characterised by uncertainty. Understanding how uncertainty affects the accuracy of state estimates is therefore a pre-requisite to the application of such techniques to real systems. In this paper we develop a method of uncertainty analysis based on linear fractional transformations (LFT) and obtain ellipsoid-of-confidence bounds by recasting the LFT problem into a semidefinite programming problem (SDP). The ideas are illustrated by applying them to a simple water distribution network
