Examining the Relationship between the EITC and Food Stamp Program Participation Among Households with Children
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Abstract
The federal Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC) and the Food Stamp Program (FSP) are the largest means-tested transfer programs for low-income working parents in the United States. Together, these two programs cost nearly 50billionperyearandcomprisethebulkofthesocialsafetynetforworkingpoorfamilies.Thispaperexamineshowthesetwoprogramsinteract,particularlythepotentialimpactoftheEITConparticipationintheFSPduringthelatterhalfofthe1990s.ThispaperisthefirsttofocusonexaminingtherelationshipbetweentheEITCandFSPparticipation.AlthoughEITCpaymentsdonotreducethepotentialsizeofahouseholdβ²sfoodstampallotmentunderFSPrules,EITCaddstoahouseholdβ²sresourcesandthuscouldaffectitswillingnesstoparticipateintheFSP.ThepaperteststhishypothesiswithmonthlydatafromtheSurveyofIncomeandProgramParticipation(SIPP)for1996through1999.WeusetwologitmodelstoexaminetherelationshipbetweenEITCandFSPparticipation.OurdependentvariableisFSPparticipationwhichequalsoneifahouseholdheadparticipatesintheFSPduringagivenmonthandzerootherwise.Ourprimaryindependentvariableofinterestinmodel1isactualfederalEITCclaimedbythehouseholdhead.Inoursecondmodel,wereplaceactualEITCbenefitsclaimedwithacomputedvariablemeasuringtheEITCbenefitsahouseholdshouldbeeligibleforgiventheirhouseholdsizeandearnedincome.Thereducedformofmodel1excludesvariablesthatmaybeendogenous(e.g.,employmentstatus,spousalemploymentstatus,TANFparticipation,andactualTANFbenefitsreceived).Specifically,weareconcernedabouttheendogeneityofahouseholdheadβ²semploymentstatus,forexample,whichmaysimultaneouslyaffectthelikelihoodofparticipatingintheFSPandbeaffectedbyEITC.Thefullformofmodel1includesthesepotentiallyendogenousvariables.Model2isusefulsinceactualEITCbenefitsmaynotbecompletelyexogenous.WetestedthisbyregressingactualEITCbenefitsonthecomputedEITCbenefits(plusourothercontrolvariables)andthenincludingtheresidualsfromthisregressioninanordinaryleastsquaresregressionoffoodstampparticipationonactualEITCbenefitsandourcontrols.WhileourresultsdidnotconclusivelydemonstratethattherewasanendogeneityproblemwithusingactualEITCbenefits,theydidsuggestitwaspossible.Model2isalsoimportantsincethereisalargeamountofmissingdataintheSIPPonactualEITCclaimed.SincethevastmajorityofEITCrecipientsreceivethebenefitinalumpsumpaymentbetweenJanuaryandApril,wemightexpectthatthedecisiontoparticipateintheFSPwouldbeaffectedbytheseasonalnatureofEITCbenefits.TodetermineifthetimingofthereceiptofEITCbenefitsimpactsfoodstampreceipt,wealsoinvestigatewhetherfederalEITCreceipthasaseasonaleffect.Wedothisbyrunninganalternateversionofthefullformmodels1and2usingtrimestervariables(i.e.,JanuaryβApril,MayβAugust,andSeptemberβDecember)interactedwiththeEITCvariable.Theresultsofthereducedandfullformsoflogitmodel1indicatethatfederalEITCclaimedispositivelyandsignificantlyrelatedtoFSPparticipation.Forthefullformmodel,thecoefficientforthelow(1-999)amountofactualEITCclaimedissignificantlydifferentfromthecoefficientsonthemedium(1,000-1,999)andhigh(2,000+) amounts at the ten percent level. For the reduced form model, we find that the coefficient for the low (1β999) amount of actual EITC claimed is significantly different from the high coefficient, however, the low and medium and high and medium coefficients are not significantly different from one another. We find no significant difference between the coefficients of the actual EITC variable interacted with the calendar trimester. That is, we find no evidence of a seasonal effect of actual EITC on FSP participation. Thus, the coefficients on the federal EITC variables suggest that households that claim EITC are more likely to participate in food stamps, though there does not appear to be a strong relationship between the amount of EITC claimed and FSP participation. Because there is much missing data for EITC claimed in the SIPP, we are skeptical of these results. Our model 2 estimates based on computed EITC benefits show a negative and statistically significant effect of EITC on FSP participation. However, the magnitude of the EITC effect declines as the amount of computed federal EITC benefits increases. The results of the full form model indicate that the effect of computed federal EITC is negative and significant for medium (1,000β1,999) and low (1β999) amounts of EITC and negative but not significant for high amounts of EITC ($2,000+). Model 2 also provides no evidence of a seasonal effect of computed EITC on FSP participation. Model 2 provides some evidence that the added money households receive from EITC allows them to avoid taking up food stamps. That said, the fact that high levels of computed EITC benefits does not exert a statistically significant effect weakens the hypothesis that money received from EITC may result in households not participating in the FSP. There is no straightforward explanation as to why only low and medium EITC levels reduce FSP participation. We conclude that it is possible that the EITC resulted in some decline in FSP participation rates, however, further study and improved data measuring EITC participation are necessary to sort out the degree to which EITC participation affects participation in the FSP.EITC, income supports, working poor, Food Stamp Program