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Efficient method for probabilistic fire safety engineering

Abstract

A growing interest exists within the fire safety community for the topics of risk and reliability. However, due to the high computational requirements of most calculation models, traditional Monte Carlo methods are in general too time consuming for practical applications. In this paper a computationally very efficient methodology is for the first time applied to structural fire safety. The methodology allows estimating the probability density function which describes the uncertain response of the fire exposed structure or structural member, while requiring only a very limited number of model evaluations. The application of the method to structural fire safety is illustrated by two examples in the area of concrete elements exposed to fire

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