Framework for seismic hazard analysis of spatially distributed systems

Abstract

The analysis of seismic risk to multiple systems of spatially distributed infrastructures presents new challenges in the characterisation of the seismic hazard input. For this purpose a general procedure entitled “Shakefield” is established, which allows for the generation of samples of ground motion fields for both single scenario events, and for stochastically generated sets of events needed for probabilistic seismic risk analysis. For a spatially distributed infrastructure of vulnerable elements, the spatial correlation of the ground motion fields for different measures of the ground motion intensity is incorporated into the simulation procedure. This is extended further to consider spatial cross-correlation between different measures of ground motion intensity. In addition to the characterisation of the seismic hazard from transient ground motion, the simulation procedure is extended to consider secondary geotechnical effects from earthquake shaking. Thus the Shakefield procedure can also characterise the effects site amplification and transient strain, and also provide estimates of permanent ground displacement due to liquefaction, slope displacement and coseismic fault rupture