MARKETING OF WHEAT ON A CONSTANT AND NIL MOISTURE BASIS

Abstract

This study examined moisture specification practices in the United States and for major exporters and assessed impacts of changes to a nil or constant moisture basis on prices and revenue. These were examined under scenarios where information on moisture in current prices is limited and under a scenario where current prices reflect Full Knowledge of moisture advantages. Results indicate that changing to a nil moisture basis (which requires a subsequent adjustment in volumes to reflect the subtraction of moisture) would increase reported prices from 42 to 70 c/bu for the wheat classes, while changing to a 12 percent constant moisture basis would have limited impacts on reported prices. Effects on relative prices/revenue depend on whether knowledge of moisture advantages are reflected in current prices. If current prices reflect moisture advantages (Full Knowledge), then relative effects on prices/revenues are minimal. If current prices do not reflect moisture advantages (Limited Knowledge), then prices/revenue in drier production regions would increase.moisture, specifications, pricing, wheat, constant moisture, nil moisture, Crop Production/Industries,