Frédéric Reynes

Gian Luigi Mazzi

Matthieu Lemoine

Paola Monperrus-Veroni

English

Research Papers in Economics

2000-2040 : Population active et croissance”, Revue de l’OFCE 79, octobre.

2007a, “L’Europe moins vieille que prévue. La démographie favorable à une politique de croissance”, Lettre de l’OFCE 281,

A multivariate unobserved components model of cyclical activity&quot;, Discussion Paper 2000/04, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.

A Simple Multivariate Filter for the Measurement of Potential Output”,

A System Approach for Measuring the Euro Area NAIRU”, European Central Bank Working

A system for dating and detecting turning points in the euro area”, The Manchester School, forthcoming.

A theory-consistent system approach for estimating potential output and the NAIRU”,

An assessment of multivariate output gap estimates in the euro area”, Working papers and studies,

An estimation of the euro area potential output with a semi-structural multivariate Hodrick-Prescott filter”, OFCE working paper No

Analyse macroéconomique des taux d’activité et flexion conjoncturelle”, Economie Appliquée

Assessment criteria for output gap estimates”, Economic modelling,

Calculating potential growth rates and output gaps - A revised production function approach”,

Comparing Predictive Accuracy'',

Comparison of Interwar and Postwar Cycles: Monetarism Reconsidered”,

Croissance potentielle et écart de production”,

Croissance potentielle, positionnement de l’économie dans le cycle et tensions inflationnistes&quot;,

Cyclical Variation in Civilian Labor Force Participation”,

Disentangling Trend and Cycle

Estimates of potential output: benefits and pitfalls from a policy perspective”,

Estimating Potential Output and the Output Gap for the euro area : a Model-Based Production Function Approach'', ECB Working paper.

Estimating Potential Output Gap as a Latent Variable”,

Estimating potential output, output gaps and structural budget balances&quot;,

Estimating the structural rate of unemployment for the OECD countries,

Estimation de l'impact du taux de chômage sur le taux d'activité dans les pays de l'OCDE”,

Estimation du PIB potentiel et de l’écart par la méthode « structurelle »”, Note d’études et de recherche de la banque de France,

Estimation of a time varying NAIRU for France”, Note d’études et de recherche de la Banque de

Hidden Unemployment 1953-62: A Quantitative Analysis by Age and

Hysteresis and the European Unemployment Problem », NBER working paper,

Hysteresis and the European Unemployment”, in:

Interaction Between Structural Employment and Cyclical Shocks in Production and Employment&quot;,

La notion de croissance potentielle a-t-elle un sens?”, Economie internationale 69.

La réduction des taux d’activité aux âges extrêmes, une spécificité française ? ”,

Labour Supply and Labour Force Participation

Le taux de chômage d’équilibre: discussion théorique et évaluation empirique», Revue de l’OFCE n°81,

Les estimations de l’écart de production de la commission Européenne ”, Economie internationale 69, 1 er trimestre.

Measuring Potential Output within a State-Space Framework&quot;,

Measuring the NAIRU: evidence from seven economies”,

New OECD method for supply-side and medium-term assessments: a capital services approach”,

Output Gaps and the Monetary Policy in the EMU area”,

Parameter estimation for linear dynamical systems”, working paper,

Post-War U.S. Business Cycles: An Empirical Investigation&quot;, Discussion Paper No 451,

Potential output growth in several Industrialised country. A comparison”,

Production function approach to calculating potential growth and output gaps – estimates for the EU Member States and the US'',

Ralentissement de la croissance potentielle et hausse du chômage”,

Selection of the Truncation Lag in Structural VARs (or VECMs) with Long-Run Restrictions” Bank of Canada, Working Paper 95-9.

Some evidence in Hysteresis in Unemployment Rates”,

Structural and reduced approaches of the equilibrium rate of unemployment, a comparison between France and the United States”,

Temporal instability of the unemployment-inflation relationship”,

Testing the equality of prediction mean errors”,

The concept, policy use and measurement of structural unemployment : estimating a time varying NAIRU across 21 OECD countries'', OECD Economic Department Working Paper No 250.

The Dynamic Effect of Aggregate Demand and Supply Disturbances: Reply'',

The information content of real-time output gap estimates. An application to the euro area'', ECB Working Paper.

The Long-Run Relationship between Inflation and Output in Postwar Economies &quot;,

The Reliability of Inflation Forecasts Based on Output Gap Estimates in Real Time”,

The Time-varying NAIRU and its Implications for Economic Policy”,

The Unreliability of Output Gap Estimates in Real Time”,

Time-Varying Nairu / Nawru Estimates for the EU’s Member States”,

Time-varying Nairu and real interest rates in the Euro Area”,

Trend and cycles in macroeconomic time series”,

Variables observables et inobservables dans la théorie du taux de chômage d’équilibre,

Wage Dynamic: Reconciling Theory and Evidence”,

When Do Long-Run Identifying Restrictions Give Reliable

Real time estimation of potential output and output gap for the euro-area: comparing production function with unobserved components and SVAR approaches

http://www.ofce.sciences-po.fr/pdf/dtravail/WP2008-34.pdf

Real time estimation of potential output and output gap for the euro-area: comparing production function with unobserved components and SVAR approaches

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