West-East Convergence in the Prevalence of Illicit Drugs: Socioeconomics or Culture?

Abstract

In contrast to West-Germany, illicit drugs were virtually absent in East-Germany until 1990. Yet, after the collapse of the former GDR, East-Germany was expected to encounter a sharp increase in the prevalence of substance abuse.By analyzing individual data,we find that East-Germany largely caught up withWest-Germany’s ever-growing prevalence of illicit drugs within a single decade.We decompose the west-east difference in prevalence rates into an explained and an unexplained part using a modified Blinder-Oaxaca procedure. This decomposition suggests that the observed convergence is just weakly related to socioeconomic characteristics and therefore remains mainly unexplained. That is, West- and East-Germans seem to have become more alike per se. We conclude that both parts of the country have converged in terms of the culture of drug consumption.Illicit drugs, west-east convergence, decomposition