Credit Scoring Models in Illinois by Farm Type: Hog, Dairy, Beef and Grain

Abstract

Employing a logit model and farm-level data for Illinois from 1995 to 2004, this study explores the importance of farm-type differences in the development of credit scoring models. Apart from the conclusion that regional credit scoring models specific to each farm type are needed, the following are identified as the most pertinent factors for explaining creditworthiness: previous years working capital to gross farm return, the debt-to-asset ratio, and return on farm assets. Furthermore, beef farms have a larger marginal effect compared to grain farms on the probability of the farmer being highly creditworthy. Hog farms differ from grain farms in how the following financial characteristics affect farmer creditworthiness: solvency, profitability, and financial efficiency. These separate credit scoring models result in increased expected profit for the lender, better capital management, less bankruptcy, and less burden on the government and tax payers.creditworthiness, credit scoring, cut-off point, farm type, FBFM, Agricultural Finance,