Vaughan, Odette

English

Research Papers in Economics

Canada-U .S. Bilateral Direct Investment and Trade:
Food and Beverage Manufacturing Industry
by
Odette Vaughan
Agriculture Canada
Ottawa, Canada
Problem
With the emergence of increased trade
liberalization, international location of investments
in food and beverage processing and levels of
trade may change. There is concern that the
Canada-U.S. Free Trade Agreement (FTA), in
particular, may result in U.S. multinational enter-
prises (MNEs) rationalizing operations in Canada
and to some extent substituting their production in
Canada with exports from the United States. The
magnitude of U.S. afilliates’ contribution to
Canadian food and beverage sales, some 25 per-
cent, and the strong foothold their products have
in the marketplace serve to emphasize the impor-
tant role U.S. multinationals play in the Canadian
industry.
On the other hand, Canadian firms may
realize new opportunities for exports and foreign
direct investment (FDI) in the United States,
Mexico and worldwide with the policy reforms
embodied in the FTA, the North American Free
Trade Agreement (NAFTA) and the General
Agreements on Tariffs and Trade (GATT). In
addition, FDI and trade are affected by a vast
assortment of other factors, such as exchange
rates, input costs, tax policies, and strategic
behavior, to name just a few.
Journal of Food Distribution Research
Objective
The overall objective of this research pro-
ject is to assess the effects of trade liberalization
and other factors on bilateral direct investment
and trade and the structure of the food and bever-
age manufacturing industries in Canada and the
United States. The study is divided into three
stages:
Stage 1: Describe changes in FDI and trade
and the factors influencing them using secondary,
industry-level data.
Stage 2: Describe the structural changes
taking place in the food industries in Canada and
the United States and how they relate to FDI and
trade using secondary, industry-level data.
Stage 3: Provide a more complete analysis
of changes in FDI, trade and structure of the
industry by obtaining primary data from large
North American firms.
Methodology
Stage 1 involves a descriptive analysis of
changes in levels and composition of Canadian
and American FDI and trade using data obtained
primarily from the Bureau of Economic Analysis,
the USDA, the United Nations and Statistics
Canada. Theoretical literature is surveyed to
February 93/page 199understand the determination of FDI and other
modes of international involvement. Previous
studies pertaining to the impacts of the CUSTA
and the role of multinationals in Canada are also
surveyed. For Stage 2, census data and other data
sources are used to determine the importance of
foreign ownership in the domestic markets of
Canada and the United States as well as the
importance of export markets to the domestic
industries.
Finally, Stage 3 involves personal inter-
views with firms operating in Canada and the
United States. A brief, yet general, questionnaire
is being prepared with the aim to better under-
stand corporate decision-makers’ motivations for
accessing foreign markets and their reasons for
choosing one mode (such as FDI) over another
(such as trade). The strategic planning of North
American MNEs regarding bilateral investments
in the Canadian and U.S. food industries will also
be discussed in the interview process in light of
the new trading and investment rules under the
FTA,
Fhdings
Stage 1 has been largely completed while
Stages 2 and 3 are still in progress. The follow-
ing is a summary of pertinent findings discovered
thus far concerning most recent statistics on
Canada-U.S. bilateral direct investment and trade.
Importance:
The Canadian and U.S. economies are
highly integrated in terms of FDI and trade in
food and beverage products; however Canada is
significantly more dependent on the United States
in terms of inflows and outflows of both FDI and
trade. The United States is becoming relatively
more involved with other nations in terms of FDI
and trade.
- The United States is Canada’s most impor-
tant source of FDI (60% of total inflows) as well
as the most important holder of Canadian direct
investment abroad (52% of total outflows).
- The United Kingdom’s share of worldwide
FDI in Canada (33%) and share of Canadian
direct investment abroad (23%) is large and sec-
ond to that of the United States. The United
States’s long term share of FDI in Canada is de-
clining, while FDI from the United Kingdom is
increasing.
- The United Kingdom and Canada are the
United States’s most important sources of FDI
(about 38% and 27% respectively) as well as the
most important holders of U.S. direct investment
abroad (18% and 15% respectively). Both coun-
tries, however, have been losing share of U.S.
direct investment abroad in the last decade, while
the share of other nations, namely the
Netherlands, Australia, Germany, Spain and
Mexico, has been increasing.
- Both Canadian and U.S. FDI inflows and
outflows are dominated by industrialized coun-
tries. Latin America (in particular Brazil and
Mexico) receives about 10 percent of U.S. direct
investment abroad. Canadian direct investment in
Latin America is at most about 2 percent of total
outflows.
- Canadian food and beverage direct invest-
ment abroad is strikingly dominated by beverage
products (almost exclusively alcoholic): 68 percent
of FDI outflows to the United States and 95 per-
cent to the United Kingdom involve beverages.
The miscellaneous food products group (US SIC
206,207,209), which includes sugar and confec-
tionery products, snack products, coffee and tea,
vegetable and animal oils, pasta and fish products,
appears to account for a large portion (possibly
60%) of the non-beverage share of Canadian
direct investment in the United States
- U.S. direct investment abroad by industry
is significantly more diversified than Canada’s.
The most important industries for U.S. direct
investment in Canada (and worldwide) are miscel-
laneous food products with 27 percent of U.S.
outflows, grain milled products (including break-
fast cereals) with 25 percent, and beverage prod-
ucts (mostly soft drink) with 17 percent. Fruit
and vegetable, and dairy products account for
much of the remainder.
- The United States is Canada’s most impor-
tant source of food and beverage (SIC 20) imports ~
February 93/page 200 Journal of Food Distribution Research(57% of total inflows) as well as Canada’s most
important destination for exports (56% of total
outflows).
- Canada is the United States’s most
important source of food and beverage (SIC 20)
imports (17%), though U.S. imports from
Australia, Thailand and Mexico are also signifi-
cant. U.S. exports to Japan (26%) far exceed
those to Canada (15%), which ranks second, and
Mexico (8%), which ranks third.
Net balance:
Canada is a slight net importer of FDI from
the U.S. food industry and a large net exporter of
FDI to the U.S. beverage industry. Canada has a
net surplus trade position with the United States in
food and beverage products. The value of food
and beverage sales of U.S, affliates in Canada
exceeds the value of U.S. food and beverage
exports to Canada more than two-fold, while the
value of Canadian exports to the United States is
about two-thirds the value of Canadian affiliates’
sales in the United States.
- FDI in the United States from Canadian
food and beverage multinationals during the late
1980s (about $6 billion) exceeded that of U.S.
direct investment in the Canadian food and bever-
age industry (about $2 billion). On an industry
basis however, Canada is a slight net importer of
FDI from the U.S. food industry and a substantial
net exporter of FDI into the U.S. beverage indus-
try.
- In 1989, U.S.-owned aftlliates’ sales of
food and beverage products in Canada ($8.1
billion) exceeded those of Canadian-owned affili-
ates in the United States ($5.6 billion), and simi-
larly the number of employees of U.S. affiliates in
Canada (40 thousand) exceeded that of Canadian
afllliates in the United States (30 thousand).
- U.S. afilliates’ sales and employment
worldwide exceed the total of all foreign afl-liates’
sales and employment in the United States, where-
as the total FDI of all foreign affiliates in the
United States exceeds U.S. direct investment
abroad. While this is the case, total assets (FDI
or parent investment, plus investment from all
other sources) of U.S. afflliates exceeds those of
all foreign aftlliates in the United States Unfor-
tunate y, we cannot confirm this for U.S. aftlliates
in Canada versus Canadian atlliates in the United
States due to confidentiality of data.
- Little historical data are available for
employment of Canadian afllliates in the United
States, however it is apparent that it was
increasing quickly in the late 1980s. Employment
of U.S. afilliates in the Canadian food and bever-
age industry fell from about 44 thousand to 33
thousand between 1982 and 1987, then rose to
about 40 thousand in 1989. The employment of
U.S. afllliates in the food and beverage industry
worldwide fell by 7 percent between 1982 and
1988, then rose by 15 percent between 1988 and
1989.
- Canada is a net exporter of food and
beverage products (SIC 20) to the United States as
well as to its trading partners worldwide. In
1991, Canadian exports to the United States were
valued at $3.5 billion whereas Canadian imports
from the United States were valued at $3.1 bil-
lion. The United States has recently become net
exporter of food and beverage products to its
worldwide trading partners.
Growth:
During the 1980s, U.S. direct investment in
the Canadian food and beverage industry grew
slower than U.S. direct investment in the
Canadian economy as a whole and slower than
U.S. direct investment in a number of other coun-
tries’ food and beverage industries. On the other
hand, Canadian direct investment in the U.S. food
and beverage industry grew very quickly during
the 1980s. Trade data for this period has not been
analyzed.
- U.S. direct investment in the Canadian
food and beverage industry grew modestly during
the 1980s (on average about 7% per annum),
somewhat slower than U.S. direct investment in
the Canadian economy as a whole. U.S. direct
investment in the Canadian and United Kingdom
food and beverage industries is growing slowly
relative to U.S. investment in a number of other
countries, namely the Netherlands, Germany,
Journal of Food Distribution Research February 931page 201Spain, Australia, Mexico, Argentina, the
Philippines and South Korea.
- Canadian direct investment in the U.S.
food industry grew very rapidly during the 1980s
(doubling on an average annual basis), signifi-
cantly faster than Canadian investment in the U.S.
economy as a whole.
Post WA:
Both U.S. direct investment in the Canadian
food and beverage industry and U.S. food and
beverage exports to Canada have increased since
the initiation of the FTA in 1989. On the other
hand, Canadian direct investment in the U.S. food
industry has been stagnant and Canadian exports
have been growing significantly slower than U.S.
exports to Canada. In 1988, Canada’s net trade
balance with the United States was $1.2 billion
and by 1991 it had fallen to $470 million.
The lowering of tariffs and nontariff barri-
ers under the FTA may be stimulating U.S.
exports to Canada more than Canadian exporta to
the United States, though the tariff rates for each
country’s industries have not been significantly
different. This is an area that clearly requires
fhrther investigation. The appreciation of the
Canadian dollar relative to the U.S. dollar has
most likely contributed to this trade balance dete-
rioration.
Some substitution of U.S. multinational
production in Canada with imports tlom the
United States has taken place, but overall, U.S.
direct investment in the Canadian food and bever-
age industry has continued to grow modestly, by
about 10 percent yearly between 1989 and 1991.
February 931page 202 Journal of Food Distribution Research

CANADA-U.S. BILATERAL DIRECT INVESTMENT AND TRADE: FOOD AND BEVERAGE MANUFACTURING INDUSTRY

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