Y Machine learning risk prediction of mortality for patients undergoing surgery with perioperative SARS-CoV-2: the COVIDSurg mortality score

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Z Ang (12137160); Zainab Al Balushi (12136944)

journal article text

Y Machine learning risk prediction of mortality for patients undergoing surgery with perioperative SARS-CoV-2: the COVIDSurg mortality score

Authors: A Barros (9090158)
A Bergeron (12137688)
A Boeckxstaens (12137310)
A Bolbaran (12137772)
A Bonilla (12137835)
A Brar (12137748)
A Christiano (12137337)
A Cordonnier (12137313)
A Dell (12137559)
A Drane (12137115)
A Fayad (12137574)
A Gatti (12137541)
A Grimonprez (12137289)
A Kouyoumdjian (12137655)
A Marreiro (12137478)
A Molero (12137775)
A Morton (7044311)
A Nadler (12137739)
A Nathens (12137742)
A Papinutti (12137202)
A Pearce (12137109)
A Persad (12137709)
A Rahman Mitul (14632496)
A Sermon (12137307)
A Velandia (12137871)
AA Carvalho (12137424)
Abhinav Tiwari (1320411)
AC Dawson (12137112)
AD Binder (12137232)
Adesoji Ademuyiwa (6729251)
Adesoji O Ademuyiwa (12983220)
AF Sousa (12137436)
AF Turgeon (12137691)
Ahmad Qureshi (12136947)
Ahmad Zarour (768894)
Ahmed Adil (12136899)
Aiste Gulla (6036329)
AL Minussi (12137343)
Alaa El-Hussuna (11400882)
Alexis Arnaud (11516434)
Alexis P Arnaud (14044053)
ALS Aidar (12137412)
ALS Leite (12137373)
Amanpreet Brar (12136827)
AMR da Silva (12149238)
Ana Danic Hadzibegovic (12136839)
Ana Minaya Bravo (14632490)
Anant Desai (12137031)
Andreas Demetriades (12137028)
Andreas Karwath (2518102)
Andrew Schache (12137049)
Andrey Litvin (8715891)
Aneel Bhangu (4320508)
Angelos Kolias (6050609)
Antonio Ramos de la Madina (14632457)
Antonio Ramos De La Medina (14632475)
April Roslani (12136914)
Arben Gjata (12136791)
Arda Isik (4320523)
Arnav Agarwal (649596)
AS Liberman (12137667)
B Atanasov (12137553)
B Guidi (12137340)
B Kidane (12137754)
B Michelitsch (12137196)
B Mueller (14632508)
Babatunde Osinaike (12136929)
BC Santos (12137421)
BG Velasquez Cuasquen (14632532)
Brett E Dawson (12136743)
Brittany Kendall (12137070)
BT Goncalves (12137520)
C Babin (12137700)
C Blier (12137703)
C De Gheldere (12137331)
C Grimm (10775970)
C Jarry (12137799)
C Lehmann (10992981)
C Nardi (12137547)
C Politis (12137322)
C Sharpin (12137118)
C Smets (12137259)
C Suazo (12137781)
CA Romero Manqui (14632523)
Carlos Jose Perez Rivera (14632466)
CC Ferro (12137379)
CDQ Flumignan (12137439)
CE Zurstrassen (12137511)
Chetan Khatri (644807)
Chew Min Hoe (12136992)
Christina Fotopoulou (1916413)
CJ Perez Rivera (14545985)
Conor S Jones (12136752)
D Bellemare (12137697)
D Bigam (12137562)
D Briatico (12137637)
D Cheng (12137571)
D Cope (12137148)
D Mitchell (9851267)
D Obrand (12137607)
D Oefner (14632493)
D Valbuena (12137862)
D Van de Putte (12137283)
DAB Kuramoto (12137409)
Dakshitha Wickramasinghe (6275804)
Dale Vimalchandran (12137055)
Daniel Cox (1793983)
Daniel Wettstein (2044174)
Daoud Chaudhry (12136740)
DB Lumenta (12137178)
DE Smith (12137094)
Dejan Radenkovic (12136986)
Dennis Mazingi (12137079)
DH Moreno (12137445)
Dhruv Ghosh (12136890)
DHS Araujo (12137388)
Dmitri Nepogodiev (703061)
DR Herrera Mora (14632535)
DRA Cox (12137127)
DWA Silvestre (12137376)
E Amzallag (12137580)
E Ang (9859148)
E Carbonneau (12137718)
E Couture (12137679)
E Girsowicz (12137601)
E Grasset (12137787)
E Manrique (12137841)
E Nkenke (12137238)
E Richtig (12137184)
EA Abdallah (12137508)
Ed Caruna (12137022)
Eddy Lincango (12136854)
Eduard-Alexandru Bonci (12136980)
EG Wong (12137592)
Ehab AlAmeer (7948172)
Elaine Leung (6991769)
Elizabeth Li (3299352)
Ella J Marson (12136764)
Elliott H Taylor (12136773)
EM Clarke (12137136)
Emmanuel Williams (12136935)
Ewen Griffiths (4320613)
F Aigner (12137175)
F Bellolio (12137802)
F D'Aragon (12137715)
F Messner (12137214)
F Pesant (12137727)
F Takeda (6096797)
Faris Ayasra (12136905)
Faustin Ntirenganya (11559270)
FB Makdissi (12137493)
Felix Aigner (4739103)
FHR Maldonado (12137349)
FJF Coimbra (12137529)
FM Carrier (12137577)
Francesco Pata (8715885)
Frederick Koh Hong Xiang (12136989)
G Baiocchi (12137484)
G Berry (12137664)
G Cote (12137646)
G De Smul (12137292)
G Groot (12137712)
G Jamjoum (12137619)
G Jimenez (12137868)
G Laporte (12137391)
G Schols (12137256)
G Seidel (12137205)
G Seitinger (12137172)
G Talwar (12137640)
Gabriele Kembuan (12136893)
Gabrielle VanRamshorst (12136809)
Gaetano Gallo (6173327)
GB Carvalho (12137502)
GE Riddiough (12137133)
Georgios Gkoutos (3576641)
Georgios Tsoulfas (12136878)
GH Van Ramshorst (12137271)
Gianluca Pellino (3813835)
Glauco Baiocchi (6291902)
GMA Gomes (12137361)
GP Reyes (12137778)
Grant Stewart (3616418)
Gustavo Ataide (12136815)
Gustavo Grecinos (12136884)
H De Praetere (12137250)
H Facundo (12137844)
H Gill (10507220)
H Pham (11850635)
H Tremblay (12137682)
H Yang (6699110)
Hailu Tamiru (12136866)
Hamza Al Naggar (12137076)
Hans Lederhuber (12136872)
Harvinder Mann (12136761)
Hassan Mashbari (12137073)
Haytham Kaafarani (12137067)
Helen M Mohan (12136902)
HJ Guedes Neto (14632502)
HM Kroon (12137100)
Hugo Gomez (12136962)
I Cecconello (12137535)
I Dajti (12137082)
I Ruiz (100674)
Ian Ganly (211565)
Igor Buarque (12136818)
IL Buarque (12137364)
Ildar R Fakhradiyev (12136911)
Ionut Negoi (4320520)
Irene Santos (8854961)
Irida Dajti (12136788)
Irmgard Kronberger (12136803)
Ismail Lawani (12136812)
Isobel M Trout (12136779)
J Abou-Khalil (12137676)
J Angel (12149250)
J Barakat Awada (14632511)
J Bayne (12137604)
J Campos (7647200)
J De Coster (12137316)
J Desroches (12137583)
J Espinosa (9887348)
J Hallet (12137736)
J Heroux (12137730)
J Jaekers (12137319)
J Kahn (12137208)
J Martin (9613577)
J Mendoza Quevedo (14632544)
J Moon (9879344)
J Pelletier (12137598)
J Presl (12137220)
J Quintens (12137265)
J Spicer (7758524)
J Valenzuela (12137085)
J Van den Eynde (12137298)
J Vargas (12137874)
JA Calvache (12137883)
Jakov Mihanovic (12136842)
James C Glasbey (12136746)
James M Keatley (12136755)
James Ngu Chi Yong (12136995)
Janet Martin (3022770)
Jaroslav Klat (12136845)
JCC Baptista-Silva (12137451)
JE Amorim (12137427)
JG Vartanian (12137490)
JL Gross (12137514)
JL Velez Bernal (14632538)
Joana FF Simoes (12136776)
Johanna Laukkarinen (8752077)
John G Edwards (8256588)
Jonathan P Evans (3744537)
Joonas Kauppila (474918)
Jose Azevedo (12136974)
Jose Calvache (12136833)
JP Duprat (12137526)
JT Reyes (12137760)
Justina Seyiolajide (14632478)
K Bailey (8665071)
K Dajani (12137565)
K Emmanuel (12137229)
K Khwaja (12137661)
K Lah (12137106)
K MacKenzie (12137613)
K Mayson (12137751)
K Van Belle (12137268)
Kamral Hossain (12136806)
Katie Shaw (10754321)
Keith Roberts (76398)
Kenneth A Mclean (12136767)
Kerry Breen (12137064)
Kjetil Soreide (8715852)
Knut Magne Augestad (12136941)
KR Qin (12137142)
KS Nunes (12137463)
Kwabena Siaw-Acheampong (12136734)
L Desender (12137277)
L Guzman (12137850)
L Haenen (12137262)
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Masoud Mozafari (405288)
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Mihail Slavchev (12136824)
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Z Ang (12137160)
Zainab Al Balushi (12136944)
Publication date: 1 November 2021
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Abstract

To support the global restart of elective surgery, data from an international prospective cohort study of 8492 patients (69 countries) was analysed using artificial intelligence (machine learning techniques) to develop a predictive score for mortality in surgical patients with SARS-CoV-2. We found that patient rather than operation factors were the best predictors and used these to create the COVIDsurg Mortality Score (https://covidsurgrisk.app). Our data demonstrates that it is safe to restart a wide range of surgical services for selected patients

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