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The Impact of the Clean Air Act Amendments of 1990 on Electric Utilitiesand Coal Mines: Evidence from the Stock Market
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Abstract
If new environmental regulation imposes significant costs on firms, it should be detected in their
stock prices. We use event study methodology to analyze whether President George H. Bush’s Clean
Air Act Amendment (CAAA) proposals of June 1989, which were quite different from what had been
expected, depressed stock prices in affected electricity generating and coal mining companies. We find
that shares of 35 electric generating companies owning Phase I power plants did not noticeably fall in
value after the Bush June 1989 announcement, nor after three other possibly relevant events during the
preceding year. In fact, these shares increased in value during June and July of 1989. In contrast,
stock prices of 11 of the 12 coal mining companies fell after Bush announced his proposals, while stock
prices of a large majority of these coal companies fell after two of the other three events (although
significance levels make these results not entirely conclusive). We argue that expected profits of electric
generating companies did not fall because the regulated price of electricity was typically allowed to
increase with costs. In the electricity industry, the costs of the CAAA were expected to be borne
entirely by consumers in the form of higher prices.clean air, electric