Bootstraping econometric models

Abstract

The bootstrap is a statistical technique used more and more widely in econometrics. While it is capable of yielding very reliable inference, some precautions should be taken in order to ensure this. Two “Golden Rules” are formulated that, if observed, help to obtain the best the bootstrap can offer. Bootstrapping always involves setting up a bootstrap data-generating process (DGP). The main types of bootstrap DGP in current use are discussed, with examples of their use in econometrics. The ways in which the bootstrap can be used to construct confidence sets differ somewhat from methods of hypothesis testing. The relation between the two sorts of problem is discussed.Bootstrap, hypothesis test, confidence set