The Year 1999: An Attempt at Political Forecasting

Abstract

Political events will to a considerable degree predominate over economics in 1999, although the economic crisis, in turn, will affect the course of the political election races, imposing on them certain constraints beyond which no political force will be able to go. If we view the crisis of 1998-99 as a systemic (and cyclical) one, it can be said that unless a number of political and governmental problems are solved, it will be impossible to overcome the economic crisis, and that the state of the Russian economy will impede the adoption of various political and governmental decisions.