Trade and payments arrangements in post-CMEA Eastern and Central Europe

Abstract

A web of trade and payments arrangements binds countries of Eastern and Central Europe under the Council of Mutual Economic Assistance (CMEA) agreements. However, it is incompatible with these countries recent commitments to move toward liberalized trade and currency convertibility. The importance of trade with other CMEA members, and the apparent desire of the USSR and others to denominate all future mutual trade at international prices poses a number of problems of transition for the countries of Eastern and Central Europe. This paper identifies three broad problems in this connection: (1) the breakdown of the CMEA arrangements has led to a serious breakdown of trade relations and reduced trade volume among former CMEA members; (2) denominating international trade at international prices implies changes in the terms of trade for each country in the system; and (3) all countries may not reach full currency convertibility in the near term, but the continuation of the old CMEA arrangements is also impossible. The purpose of this paper is to discuss the possible interim institutional arrangements for trade of payments among previous CMEA members and how such arrangements can contribute to addressing the emerging payments imbalances.Economic Theory&Research,Environmental Economics&Policies,TF054105-DONOR FUNDED OPERATION ADMINISTRATION FEE INCOME AND EXPENSE ACCOUNT,Trade Policy,Transport and Trade Logistics