A measure of stock market integration for developed and emerging markets

Abstract

If equity markets are financially integrated, the price of risk should be the same across markets. If the markets are not financially integrated - possibly because of barriers to capital flows across markets - the price of risk may differ across markets. The author investigates one measure of financial integration between equity markets. He uses a multifactor equilibrium Arbitrage Pricing Theory to define risk and to measure deviations from the"law of one price."He applies the integration measure to equities traded in 24 countries (four developed, and 20 emerging). The measure of market segmentation tends to be much larger for emerging markets than for developed markets, which is consistent with larger barriers to capital flows into or out of the emerging markets. The measure tends to decrease over time, which is consistent with growing levels of integration. Large values of adjusted mispricing occur around periods of economic turbulence and periods in which capital controls change significantly. So, the adjusted mispricing estimates measure not only the level of deviation from the law of one price, but also the revaluations inherent in moving from one regime to another.Banks&Banking Reform,Economic Theory&Research,International Terrorism&Counterterrorism,Payment Systems&Infrastructure,Markets and Market Access,Banks&Banking Reform,Access to Markets,Markets and Market Access,International Terrorism&Counterterrorism,Economic Theory&Research