BANKA KREDILERI VE ENFLASYON ARASINDAKI ILISKI: TURKIYE UZERINE EKONOMETRIK BIR ANALIZ (1983-2007)

Abstract

In this study, one of the most controversial debates of economics literature, namely the relationship between bank credits and inflation is studied in the context of Turkish economy. In the study, covering 1983-2007 period, total bank credits and inflation (PPI) are used. The relationships between bank credits and inflation rate are analyzed econometrically by employing Johansen cointegration analysis and error correction model. According to the results, bank credits is negatively effected by inflation, while inflation is positively effected by bank credits in the long run. Furthermore, error correction-augmented Granger causality tests show that bi-directional causality exists between bank credits and inflation.Bank Credits, Inflation, Turkey Economy, Time Series, Unit Root, Cointegration, Weak Exogenity, Granger Causality, VEC Model