A public guarantee of a minimum return to defined contribution pension scheme members

Abstract

The recent financial crisis has clearly demonstrated the exposure of defined contribution (DC) pension scheme members to extreme financial market risks. This paper argues that the government might offer DC plan members a minimum return guarantee, funded by risk based premia. Option pricing formulas show that the guarantee could be quite expensive, but public provision could reduce the costs borne by workers. Such an arrangement would be sustainable for the government and would give workers an acceptable benefit/contribution ratio in worst-case scenarios, while still allowing them to reap the advantages of occupational or individual funded pension schemes.defined contribution pension schemes, financial market tail risks, return guarantees, exchange option, ModiglianiÂ’s Treasury CFDB swap