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Is the U.S. Stock Market Sufficiently Efficient around Hurricanes?

Abstract

This paper tests the U.S. stock market efficiency around all 18 hurricanes that have hit continental U.S. since 2000. Using an event-study methodology, the study analyzes the effect of those 18 hurricanes on a sample of 60 property-casualty insurance companies before and following the hurricanes’ landfall. The study supports the semi-strong form market efficiency and concludes that market inefficiency only exists during the pre-landfall period. Moreover, a significant negative relationship is found between the wind speed and firms’ risk exposure, which reiterates the market’s ability to differentiate hurricanes by their damaging power and to discriminate P&C insurers by their existence of exposure

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