THE USE OF A MARSHALLIAN MACROECONOMIC MODEL FOR POLICY EVALUATION: CASE OF SOUTH AFRICA

Abstract

Using a disaggregated Marshallian Macroeconomic Model (MMM-DA), this paper investigates how the adoption of a set of 'free market reforms' may affect the economic growth rate of South Africa. Accounting for possible side effects mainly on the budget deficit, our findings suggest that the institution of the proposed policy reforms would yield a substantial growth in the aggregate annual real GDP. The resulting GDP growth rate could range from 5.3 percent to 9.8 percent depending on which variant of the reform policies is implemented.Marshallian Macroeconometric Model, Disaggregation, Transfer functions