Flujos de trabajadores en el mercado de trabajo andaluz

Abstract

The present article studies inflows and outflows from unemployment for a sample of Andalusian workers. Using a duration model, we estimate both the employment and unemployment hazard rates, taking into account not only the duration on each state but also different individual and aggregate characteristics of the Andalusian labour market. Our results show that the turnover rate is extremely high in Andalucia, specially in the nineties. Moreover, we also find that the unemployment hazard rate is highly procyclical whereas the exit rate from employment is countercyclical only for short-term jobs. These results explain why the Andalusian unemployment rate grows at recessions periods whereas it does not decrease sufficiently in the expansionary periods of this economy.Employment and Unemployment hazard rates, unobserved heterogeneity, discrete time duration models