Reliability of Structural Shocks Estimates from a Bivariate SVAR Model - The Case of Southeast Asian Countries

Abstract

In order to assess the symmetry in the nature of structural shocks for a bloc of countries to form a currency union, long-run identifying restrictions to simple bivariate models are often used. This study attempts to assess the reliability of the estimated structural shocks produced from applications of these kinds of models by looking at their consistency in representing the designated shocks. The case examined covers some countries in the Southeast Asian bloc. The finding suggests that the commingling shocks problems exist. Exercise using larger models and higher frequency data is then advisable.Structural Shocks Estimates, Bivariate SVAR Model, South East Asia